TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$350,950
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$357,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,950 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb8e6…d504backed Over51c66,333$33,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,567.6921057.1%120 W · 90 L+20.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c54,764$27,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,433.682,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c42,988$21,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,747.019,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over50c40,000$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00038253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Over49c36,767$17,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,848.18037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44e5…120fbacked Over51c35,313$17,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,932.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Over49c30,000$14,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,699.9951350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under51c17,174$8,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,352.892,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under50c17,059$8,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,594.5424053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea9…1a13backed Over0c13,370$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3780%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under51c12,000$6,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,88019754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Over51c11,643$5,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,937.9348352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c10,645$5,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,323.273,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over50c10,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.991,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under51c9,215$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,515.411,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c7,643$3,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,784.532,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c7,097$3,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,492.152,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under51c7,023$3,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.12,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under52c7,000$3,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,362.821,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under51c6,576$3,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,222.4765750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c6,477$3,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.381,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c6,000$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,89080737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c4,968$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.762,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Over50c4,915$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.334151.2%21 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Over43c4,385$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,88717436.2%63 W · 111 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c4,102$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.524,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9601,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00035942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00022035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013954.7%76 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under73c3,613$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.281,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c3,058$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.825,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under50c2,719$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.4318343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under65c2,584$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c2,508$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.824,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Under51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7812051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under50c1,950$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9751,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under49c1,906$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.541,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under56c1,900$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.52,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,628$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.286,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76c3…4b14backed Over51c1,200$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6122520%5 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over22c1,160$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef04…9ef0backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4009843.9%43 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over49c798.04$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.0429243.8%128 W · 164 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under49c792.97$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.4117233.7%58 W · 114 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over50c750$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37540947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under71c659.82$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8824846.8%116 W · 132 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under51c610$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.91,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under49c509.79$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.992,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Over50c422.64$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.444540%18 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20032150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cca…6143backed Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20041550.1%208 W · 207 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under50c382.8$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.7653043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under55c345.9$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1543,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c325.82$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.972,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c301$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.491,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under51c248.65$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8666646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c215.29$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.952,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6c…fe22backed Under51c201.02$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.697454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015156.3%85 W · 66 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10041052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under51c200$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9920149.8%100 W · 101 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9637750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe6c…4f6fbacked Over52c190.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.223145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c151$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.523,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under51c141.4$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5731155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed Under52c135.56$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0712143.8%53 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa66d…0859backed Under51c124.59$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5821645.8%99 W · 117 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under46c121.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.72,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98c1…3d1ebacked Under52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.382857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c111.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.643,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Under51c107.65$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8527943%120 W · 159 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under51c106.24$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.271,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x646e…294dbacked Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.048240.2%33 W · 49 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5042551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4991148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over51c90$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.941048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under51c88.24$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2450351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x137e…20d7backed Under50c81.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0715040%60 W · 90 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ef3…519dbacked Under51c80.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+55.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19cc…c85ebacked Under51c80.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.281040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under51c78.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3232952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under51c68.82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7215849.4%78 W · 80 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c20…6fd4backed Over49c61.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.995959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.49259.8%55 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over51c57.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4433258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98a…edacbacked Under51c57.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.143447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under50c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4353945.3%244 W · 295 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.