Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9cee125ce76add5ed9fa95a900473f6cac9e6b8ecc9649d0ff38ac1b316da39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouri Tigersof Missouri Tigers, Mississippi State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Missouri Tigers | 55c | 2,053$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.11 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 45c | 2,027$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.23 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 30c | 1,593$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.95 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Missouri Tigers | 72c | 1,331$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.44 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 936.81$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.85 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Missouri Tigers | 56c | 721.22$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.6 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 47c | 710.55$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.96 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 47c | 632.73$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Missouri Tigers | 59c | 615.54$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.14 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 21c | 566.17$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 35c | 545.7$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.45 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 47c | 533.71$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.78 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Missouri Tigers | 67c | 494.89$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.66 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Missouri Tigers | 56c | 483.73$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.63 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 30c | 456.18$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.07 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Missouri Tigers | 55c | 450.61$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.77 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Missouri Tigers | 54c | 409.54$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.48 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 46c | 359.96$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Missouri Tigers | 69c | 342.27$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 46c | 299.26$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 45c | 262.7$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.62 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Missouri Tigers | 76c | 241.55$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 46c | 201.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Missouri Tigers | 55c | 181.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 45c | 122.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 28c | 115.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 18c | 114.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Missouri Tigers | 56c | 99.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 47c | 99.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 45c | 97.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff75…b615backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 93.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Missouri Tigers | 59c | 92.55$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 85.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 45c | 80.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…de47backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 21c | 68.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 44c | 56.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8b9ebacked Missouri Tigers | 55c | 54.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 47c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 45.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 46c | 41.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Missouri Tigers | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Missouri Tigers | 55c | 39.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 42c | 37.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…8b8fbacked Missouri Tigers | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 45c | 33.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 45c | 33.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Missouri Tigers | 53c | 32.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…b082backed Missouri Tigers | 55c | 27.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2975…596cbacked Missouri Tigers | 69c | 26.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 44c | 24.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Missouri Tigers | 77c | 23.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Missouri Tigers | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsthis page
- Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs: O/U 155.5Under won
- Spread: Missouri Tigers (-1.5)Missouri Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.