TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

William & Mary Tribe vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
William & Mary Tribeof William & Mary Tribe, North Carolina A&T Aggies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7aa8…56dbbacked William & Mary Tribe75c2,151$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.771,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies28c1,786$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.151,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed William & Mary Tribe72c1,258$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.262,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies29c1,201$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.1655532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked North Carolina A&T Aggies24c1,191$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.874,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies21c834.47$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.031,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed William & Mary Tribe71c749.53$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2444549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed North Carolina A&T Aggies14c557.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5570936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked William & Mary Tribe79c498.26$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.334,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed North Carolina A&T Aggies29c425.58$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.611,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed William & Mary Tribe75c425.19$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked William & Mary Tribe73c315.62$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2227450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed North Carolina A&T Aggies31c300.73$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.232,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed William & Mary Tribe72c299.56$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.165,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked North Carolina A&T Aggies27c298.53$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.662,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed William & Mary Tribe75c272.01$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.753,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked William & Mary Tribe71c239.26$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.941,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies14c200.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.051,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies25c191.68$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.765,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed North Carolina A&T Aggies15c168.07$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6794036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked William & Mary Tribe72c145.06$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.330054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked North Carolina A&T Aggies31c138.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0831537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed William & Mary Tribe79c135$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.22,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies18c129.12$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2777142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies28c99.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.81,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d0…6fc8backed North Carolina A&T Aggies27c91.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.837754.5%42 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed North Carolina A&T Aggies12c85.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.392,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed William & Mary Tribe71c83.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3312655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked William & Mary Tribe71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed William & Mary Tribe71c41.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed William & Mary Tribe70c40.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.091,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked William & Mary Tribe70c39.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9117945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed William & Mary Tribe72c35.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0181528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed William & Mary Tribe70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea52…b082backed William & Mary Tribe70c19.85$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.961752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed William & Mary Tribe80c15.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.152353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa9…c178backed William & Mary Tribe79c12.75$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.674281%34 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.