Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Mercer Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b253ff2670f96a4218253ea3cda0a44b19b6dfb494e2eb0e1b32b85387ab620
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercer Bearsof East Tennessee State Buccaneers, Mercer Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 9c | 3,621$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.89 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 21c | 2,441$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.44 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 27c | 1,818$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.53 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 25c | 1,769$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.17 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Mercer Bears | 68c | 1,319$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.72 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 12c | 788.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Mercer Bears | 70c | 659$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.39 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mercer Bears | 78c | 514.18$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mercer Bears | 69c | 501.1$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.97 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 42c | 389.82$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…1e15backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 28c | 351.17$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 47c | 306.91$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.24 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 11c | 238.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 15c | 216.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 33c | 187.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 23c | 172.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…57e6backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 8c | 159.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 28c | 119.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 15c | 116.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercer Bears | 78c | 114.35$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Mercer Bears | 53c | 112.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 47c | 99.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 22c | 99.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Mercer Bears | 53c | 99.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 15c | 98.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Mercer Bears | 54c | 91.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 29c | 78.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 16c | 74.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mercer Bears | 77c | 49.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 47c | 41.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 334 | 45.8%153 W · 181 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Mercer Bears | 54c | 39.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Mercer Bears | 52c | 34.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mercer Bears | 53c | 33.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…b082backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 48c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked Mercer Bears | 74c | 20.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Mercer Bears | 52c | 19.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Mercer Bears | 52c | 19.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Mercer Bearsthis page
- East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Mercer Bears: O/U 150.5Over won
- East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Mercer Bears: O/U 151.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.