Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Mercer Bears: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b1e4230ff6a647fa96cb08bc333389b78ef96926f150781ff8575e0ee4ea54c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 52c | 12,812$6,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,662.09 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 52c | 2,280$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.55 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.97 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 48c | 742.37$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.73 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 51c | 683.96$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.82 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 565.1$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.92 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Over | 49c | 404.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 188.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 55c | 180.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 51c | 155.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…ea8dbacked Over | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 49c | 74.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf896…3cc6backed Over | 49c | 70.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Over | 54c | 66.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 46.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 35.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 44c | 33.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 31.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 25.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Under | 51c | 22.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Mercer Bears: O/U 151.5this page
- East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Mercer BearsMercer Bears won
- East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs. Mercer Bears: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.