Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UMBC Retrievers vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48554b18642ff316220af8f8fb1ea0370deb4704463dfc17aa445cea24daed91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UMBC Retrieversof UMBC Retrievers, Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 44c | 5,700$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.35 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 43c | 3,951$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed UMBC Retrievers | 58c | 3,599$2,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.76 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed UMBC Retrievers | 54c | 2,289$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.66 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UMBC Retrievers | 58c | 2,228$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.98 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad3…ad16backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 45c | 1,812$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed UMBC Retrievers | 67c | 1,797$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.74 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 28c | 1,732$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.45 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 25c | 1,675$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.64 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UMBC Retrievers | 63c | 1,269$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.89 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 42c | 771.61$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.11 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8603…d597backed UMBC Retrievers | 55c | 620$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x131b…e03fbacked UMBC Retrievers | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64dd…d30ebacked UMBC Retrievers | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 42c | 529.95$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.23 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UMBC Retrievers | 79c | 496.87$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 41c | 445.89$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.41 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 41c | 399.96$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.98 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 43c | 332.04$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed UMBC Retrievers | 54c | 287.48$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.24 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…0d72backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 38c | 228.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 18c | 218.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 172 | 41.3%71 W · 101 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed UMBC Retrievers | 55c | 179.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed UMBC Retrievers | 56c | 158.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked UMBC Retrievers | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed UMBC Retrievers | 67c | 148.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed UMBC Retrievers | 66c | 144.31$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked UMBC Retrievers | 79c | 134.8$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed UMBC Retrievers | 50c | 127.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 45c | 123$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 47c | 100.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 45c | 99.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 44c | 75.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 44c | 67.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 47c | 56.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 22c | 56.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked UMBC Retrievers | 57c | 53.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed UMBC Retrievers | 67c | 52.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UMBC Retrievers | 50c | 48.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed UMBC Retrievers | 58c | 42.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 47c | 41.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 44c | 40.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 40c | 39.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 42c | 37.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 45c | 36.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…ff05backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 42c | 35.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 35c | 29.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks | 43c | 25.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea52…b082backed UMBC Retrievers | 58c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UMBC Retrievers | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…7f10backed UMBC Retrievers | 75c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed UMBC Retrievers | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed UMBC Retrievers | 67c | 18.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UMBC Retrievers vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksthis page
- UMBC Retrievers vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.