Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zakharova (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14605b25150cd02a49ab2895b9af650f8c979cfc617579e6c9131baacec7187e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bondarof Zakharova, Bondar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,902
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,902 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Bondar | 58c | 8,386$4,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zakharova | 0c | 4,645$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zakharova | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.96 | 4,090 | 39.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L | +95.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Zakharova | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 3,891 | 35%1,362 W · 2,529 L | +93.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Zakharova | 42c | 1,395$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.89 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Zakharova | 43c | 1,119$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…9f0abacked Zakharova | 42c | 557.14$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked Zakharova | 42c | 554.76$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…7bd5backed Zakharova | 42c | 533.33$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Bondar | 59c | 529.29$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.75 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…ebe6backed Zakharova | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zakharova | 43c | 299.85$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 7,774 | 47.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L | +40.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Zakharova | 42c | 288$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.66 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Zakharova | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bondar | 56c | 267.29$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Zakharova | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Zakharova | 40c | 245.41$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bondar | 59c | 183$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Zakharova | 42c | 179.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Bondar | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Zakharova | 48c | 173.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Zakharova | 42c | 172$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zakharova | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.07 | 7,201 | 49.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L | +114.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…7899backed Zakharova | 42c | 116.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Bondar | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 423 | 53.7%227 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked Zakharova | 42c | 88.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Zakharova | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Bondar | 66c | 76.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…610bbacked Zakharova | 42c | 72.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Zakharova | 42c | 61.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Zakharova | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…9588backed Zakharova | 42c | 58.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…f174backed Zakharova | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…bd81backed Zakharova | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zakharova | 40c | 29.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Zakharova | 42c | 24.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Bondar | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zakharova (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5)this page
- Anastasia Zakharova vs. Anna Bondar: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Miami Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Anna BondarAnastasia Zakharova won
- Set 1 Winner: Zakharova vs BondarBondar won
- Zakharova vs. Bondar: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.