MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f1fc30e73fb56a83416f1e51c154da93edd7ce95242c67a1d2e5a453fec13d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, San Francisco Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,144 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 6,397$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.39 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 1,793$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.06 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 1,331$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.69 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 1,180$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.37 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Los Angeles Angels | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 912.76$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.46 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 877.36$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.68 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 850$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.8wins | -0.37per pick | 60cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 752.28$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.37 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 609.19$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.62 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 329.74$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked San Francisco Giants | 66c | 312$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 300.52$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 300$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 298.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 296.7$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.31 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 221.45$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.26 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 211.05$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 210$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 208$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 204.86$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.34 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…c640backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed San Francisco Giants | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 181.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 159.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 129.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 128.72$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 121.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked San Francisco Giants | 65c | 119$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 118$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 104.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 103.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1b…7377backed San Francisco Giants | 67c | 89.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 79.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 60.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 60.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 58.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 57.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 55.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Los Angeles Angels | 32c | 47.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed San Francisco Giants | 57c | 45.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked San Francisco Giants | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 43.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…1c18backed Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 43.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 42.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 36.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed San Francisco Giants | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 32.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Los Angeles Angels | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 27.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 26.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed San Francisco Giants | 56c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked San Francisco Giants | 58c | 20.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…7f7fbacked San Francisco Giants | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.