Tennis · resolved market
Thionville: Sebastian Ofner vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bcf1ced93554c5ab5e2bbbdd50aa190453adbc81244f2302347e8c1aa43f89f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Ofnerof Sebastian Ofner, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,464 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1986…0cd0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 51c | 9,835$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Sebastian Ofner | 55c | 8,784$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,918.3 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 40c | 5,435$2,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.68 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 38c | 5,141$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.57 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 50c | 4,981$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 3,926$2,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.46 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 64c | 3,646$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.52 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…f7f1backed Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 3,569$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.87 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Sebastian Ofner | 29c | 3,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.31 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 2,504$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.49 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sebastian Ofner | 51c | 2,221$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.15 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Sebastian Ofner | 54c | 1,847$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.96 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sebastian Ofner | 54c | 1,606$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.67 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 39c | 1,456$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.45 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Sebastian Ofner | 59c | 1,437$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.73 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 1,400$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.33 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 1,239$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Sebastian Ofner | 41c | 1,221$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.63 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 44c | 1,136$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.24 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 1,053$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Sebastian Ofner | 53c | 1,020$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.08 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 47c | 1,015$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.94 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 38c | 1,012$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.57 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Sebastian Ofner | 56c | 886.48$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.48 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 47c | 845.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Sebastian Ofner | 52c | 761.2$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.38 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 756.35$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.96 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Sebastian Ofner | 49c | 600.81$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.4 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…70ffbacked Sebastian Ofner | 52c | 583.12$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.31 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Sebastian Ofner | 55c | 545.68$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.68 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Sebastian Ofner | 55c | 523.56$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.7 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Sebastian Ofner | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 491.53$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.18 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 47c | 489.47$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.77 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Sebastian Ofner | 50c | 470.91$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.89 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Sebastian Ofner | 66c | 454.99$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.9 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 450.25$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.89 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 51c | 423.94$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.12 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Sebastian Ofner | 49c | 402.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Sebastian Ofner | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 398.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Sebastian Ofner | 52c | 383.69$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.68 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Sebastian Ofner | 28c | 370.36$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.66 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 53c | 362.07$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.81 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Sebastian Ofner | 56c | 359.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.34 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sebastian Ofner | 49c | 355.22$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.75 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed Sebastian Ofner | 62c | 341.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.82 | 78 | 75.6%59 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 54c | 329.44$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Sebastian Ofner | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Sebastian Ofner | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Sebastian Ofner | 36c | 278.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.17 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Sebastian Ofner | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 260.42$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Sebastian Ofner | 51c | 258.03$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 55c | 244.19$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 65c | 229.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Sebastian Ofner | 55c | 219$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.2 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Sebastian Ofner | 51c | 215.46$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…1c0bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 52c | 209.52$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 51c | 204.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 55c | 197.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…9052backed Sebastian Ofner | 58c | 191.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +12.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Sebastian Ofner | 54c | 188.68$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Sebastian Ofner | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Sebastian Ofner | 55c | 182.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 39c | 180$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Sebastian Ofner | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Sebastian Ofner | 56c | 178.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf9…9372backed Sebastian Ofner | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 168.97$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Sebastian Ofner | 55c | 168$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.95 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 166.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 57c | 156.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Sebastian Ofner | 55c | 151$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 151$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 77c | 142.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 141$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe16…d380backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 133.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Sebastian Ofner | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sebastian Ofner | 55c | 133$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…6a0abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 122.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 42c | 118.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 48c | 116.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 115.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 47c | 112.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Sebastian Ofner | 38c | 101.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 56c | 100.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f65…4875backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 41c | 99.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 96.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788f…8c1ebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 93.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 184 | 60.3%111 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thionville: Sebastian Ofner vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerthis page
- Ofner vs. Kjaer: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Ofner vs KjaerKjaer won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.