Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Ruiz (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6d93632cca9d0a0d8be64fd1828b91e97c2fc42a03b737742c1fd3386500c66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ruizof Medvedev, Ruiz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0020…4d7ebacked Medvedev | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Ruiz | 59c | 3,383$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.06 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Medvedev | 41c | 3,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Medvedev | 46c | 2,182$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Ruiz | 59c | 1,709$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.63 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Ruiz | 58c | 1,504$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.6 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Medvedev | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Ruiz | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Ruiz | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…d8acbacked Medvedev | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b1…83a0backed Medvedev | 42c | 890.76$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Medvedev | 43c | 775.14$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Medvedev | 41c | 680.67$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.07 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Medvedev | 40c | 672.09$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.92 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Ruiz | 60c | 500.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.74 | 150 | 70%105 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…0e56backed Medvedev | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Medvedev | 41c | 459.85$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.54 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Medvedev | 44c | 453.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Ruiz | 61c | 451.16$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.88 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Ruiz | 59c | 450$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.5 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Ruiz | 56c | 399.98$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Medvedev | 44c | 299.81$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.74 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Medvedev | 40c | 223.05$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Medvedev | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Medvedev | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Medvedev | 41c | 196.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.73 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Ruiz | 57c | 185.04$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Ruiz | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Medvedev | 40c | 175$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Medvedev | 43c | 172.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Medvedev | 42c | 168.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x822b…61fdbacked Medvedev | 42c | 168$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Ruiz | 60c | 137.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Medvedev | 17c | 121.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Medvedev | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Medvedev | 47c | 107.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…498cbacked Medvedev | 43c | 106.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Ruiz | 43c | 106.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Medvedev | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ruiz | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…1c05backed Medvedev | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Medvedev | 43c | 96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Medvedev | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Ruiz | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef6…38b5backed Medvedev | 44c | 84.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Medvedev | 41c | 77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Medvedev | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 234 | 57.3%134 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Medvedev | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Medvedev | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 26.8%33 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Medvedev | 43c | 69.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a1…d1eebacked Medvedev | 44c | 68.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Ruiz | 43c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Ruiz | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Medvedev | 43c | 57.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Medvedev | 43c | 53.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Medvedev | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…6f8fbacked Medvedev | 43c | 46.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Medvedev | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Medvedev | 43c | 44.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Ruiz | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 124 | 62.1%77 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Ruiz | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 167 | 18.6%31 W · 136 L | -23.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Ruiz | 50c | 30.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +24.4wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed Medvedev | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1619…ca7bbacked Medvedev | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Medvedev | 43c | 24.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Medvedev | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Ruiz (+1.5)this page
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil MedvedevDaniil Medvedev won
- Ruiz vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Ruiz vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruiz vs MedvedevRuiz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.