MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x789d0bdd8d8cdee2476f362fe4a5355ad27bb46ae8ace51d6c852f3fab607df8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Twins, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $974,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $978,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $974,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins | 44c | 543,670$241,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241,223.21 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays | 58c | 215,719$125,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,601.97 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Twins | 42c | 188,360$79,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,225.32 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 55c | 121,538$66,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,692.1 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 77,739$43,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,329.28 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Blue Jays | 56c | 70,000$39,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,800 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Blue Jays | 56c | 58,813$32,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,877.83 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jays | 56c | 44,000$24,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,430 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Twins | 43c | 40,000$17,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,199.96 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 57c | 39,888$22,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,151.84 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 36,950$20,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,258 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 58c | 25,271$14,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,729.28 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Twins | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 17,702$9,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,958.69 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Twins | 42c | 14,422$6,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,057.24 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays | 56c | 14,000$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,160 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 55c | 13,459$7,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,056.36 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blue Jays | 57c | 11,586$6,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,982.01 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 11,110$6,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,821.7 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Blue Jays | 57c | 10,526$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,526.32 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Twins | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.98 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Twins | 20c | 9,253$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.17 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Blue Jays | 58c | 8,937$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,753.41 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Blue Jays | 57c | 8,500$4,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays | 79c | 8,316$6,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.69 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Twins | 42c | 7,051$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.42 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jays | 57c | 6,666$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.38 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Twins | 43c | 6,657$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.55 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Twins | 42c | 5,948$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,485.12 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Blue Jays | 56c | 5,800$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Twins | 42c | 5,371$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.64 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Twins | 44c | 5,338$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.68 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 5,150$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.5 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Twins | 43c | 5,012$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Twins | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 69c | 4,312$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.91 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 4,119$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.4 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Blue Jays | 57c | 3,656$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.08 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 3,616$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.6 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Twins | 32c | 3,000$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.99 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins | 1c | 2,395$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Twins | 23c | 2,116$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.47 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Twins | 43c | 2,091$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.13 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Twins | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Twins | 1c | 1,615$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 1,544$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.14 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Twins | 6c | 1,507$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,247$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.21 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,226$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.22 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 78c | 1,161$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.14 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 42c | 1,151$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.42 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Twins | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…6ed6backed Blue Jays | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 44c | 852.27$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…0a55backed Blue Jays | 57c | 809.6$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.13 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Twins | 42c | 750$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Blue Jays | 58c | 724.14$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.14 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Twins | 43c | 543.93$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.46 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 44c | 536$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Twins | 42c | 517$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.14 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Blue Jays | 58c | 517$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 58c | 517$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.14 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Twins | 43c | 516.51$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.1 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blue Jays | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 56c | 482.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.69 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Twins | 42c | 478.64$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.03 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Twins | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Blue Jays | 80c | 437.49$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed Blue Jays | 58c | 421.94$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.02 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 57c | 386.75$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.3 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Twins | 42c | 381$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 373.83$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.01 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Twins | 42c | 371.78$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.15 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 317.88$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.69 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Twins | 44c | 317.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Twins | 42c | 289.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Blue Jays | 58c | 270.69$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.69 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Twins | 43c | 265.65$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Blue Jays | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 249.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Blue Jays | 58c | 239.66$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.66 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Twins | 42c | 239$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 231.58$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Twins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Twins | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Twins | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fc…5ddfbacked Blue Jays | 57c | 209.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Twins | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Blue Jays | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Twins | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays | 58c | 179.31$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Blue Jays | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Blue Jays | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Twins | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Blue Jays | 77c | 159.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa387…912dbacked Twins | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Twins vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Spread: Blue Jays (-1.5)Yes won
- Twins vs. Blue Jays: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.