TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Chicago State Cougars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsof Fairleigh Dickinson Knights, Chicago State Cougars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bf6…5200backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights56c1,140$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.194161%25 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Chicago State Cougars63c1,109$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.627450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago State Cougars59c1,034$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.274,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights57c942.83$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.6187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights36c905.99$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.372,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Chicago State Cougars45c857.14$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.711,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights56c809.09$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.591,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Chicago State Cougars44c682.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.815127.5%14 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-52.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights50c637.71$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.613,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights37c388.15$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.462,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7433…7851backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights71c349.3$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.642152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Chicago State Cougars45c341.9$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8655840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Chicago State Cougars47c299.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.62,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights71c281.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.36342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Chicago State Cougars42c234$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2826254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Chicago State Cougars44c233$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.521,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights60c220.2$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.091,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Chicago State Cougars46c218.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8293447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Chicago State Cougars40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806743.3%29 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Chicago State Cougars47c199.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights53c151.87$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3850745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Chicago State Cougars43c149.41$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.2181453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights57c137.36$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights58c137.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.135052%26 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Chicago State Cougars38c136.68$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6693247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Chicago State Cougars47c132.82$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5370349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55fc…8b73backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.082548%12 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights56c123.14$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7837947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Chicago State Cougars43c121.24$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1374649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Chicago State Cougars41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.213743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights47c109.75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.752254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Chicago State Cougars44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.789146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Chicago State Cougars43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Chicago State Cougars43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4340849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5615055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights46c95.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6518557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Chicago State Cougars58c95$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7233445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…3400backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights63c70.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Chicago State Cougars45c67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.91,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8149849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Chicago State Cougars48c64.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9970936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights50c61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.511,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.452353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Chicago State Cougars76c55.26$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chicago State Cougars43c54.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.542,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Chicago State Cougars44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Chicago State Cougars44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2285248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Chicago State Cougars42c46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3261244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Chicago State Cougars41c43.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.871655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Chicago State Cougars43c39.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2881528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Chicago State Cougars40c35.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.251,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights57c35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.155263.5%33 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Chicago State Cougars35c34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.93,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Chicago State Cougars45c32.08$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.449035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Chicago State Cougars44c30.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4217627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Chicago State Cougars44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.154,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Chicago State Cougars44c27.37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.961,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x049e…55b1backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights56c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.585168.6%35 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.