NHL · resolved market
KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9f8a6410d858d3d92da119d9447a91b9f965ed33b39cacdb8e81694a384775a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metallurg Magnitogorskof Dinamo Minsk, Metallurg Magnitogorsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Dinamo Minsk | 54c | 2,915$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.33 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 46c | 1,589$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 47c | 1,013$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.8 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 812.5$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 45c | 787.8$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.29 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 563.16$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.88 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 47c | 534.37$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.9 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Dinamo Minsk | 55c | 433.04$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 45c | 362.22$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.22 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Dinamo Minsk | 18c | 326.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 48c | 267.77$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.77 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 77c | 246$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 45c | 180.29$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Dinamo Minsk | 24c | 155$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 74c | 107.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…48a4backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Dinamo Minsk | 25c | 99.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…88e8backed Dinamo Minsk | 47c | 95.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 46c | 92.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 79c | 80.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked Dinamo Minsk | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 45c | 61.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 46c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 45c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Dinamo Minsk | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Dinamo Minsk | 56c | 35.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Dinamo Minsk | 32c | 35.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…40a0backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 34.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Dinamo Minsk | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 73c | 20.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.