TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Liberty vs. Storm

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Libertyof Liberty, Storm
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,715
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,715 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1295…640dbacked Storm38c27,206$10,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,346.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Liberty62c9,357$5,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,586.151,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Liberty55c9,162$5,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,113.372751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Storm50c6,553$3,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,282.011533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-31.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Liberty77c5,409$4,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.0115246.7%71 W · 81 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Liberty47c4,793$2,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,524.411754.7%64 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Storm51c4,086$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.512259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+69.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Liberty50c3,050$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.8123931.8%76 W · 163 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Liberty51c2,940$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.73580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+81.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Liberty50c2,566$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.984438.6%17 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf508…265cbacked Liberty65c2,552$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.63988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+116.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Liberty80c1,908$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.49366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Storm52c1,592$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.027162%44 W · 27 L+9.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Storm58c1,533$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.923938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Storm53c1,509$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.616640.9%27 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Storm52c1,466$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.038548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Liberty74c1,351$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.183842.1%16 W · 22 L-5.7wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Liberty46c1,300$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7022055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…5c6abacked Storm55c1,283$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc36…1fa0backed Storm50c1,263$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.5730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Liberty48c1,250$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6501421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Liberty50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+78.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Liberty33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6702725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Storm53c834.34$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.599055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4487…08c6backed Liberty45c778.57$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.571947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd8…4bf1backed Liberty27c755.5$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+65.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Storm27c729.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Liberty48c723$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.96683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+76%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked Storm52c723$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.9640%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Storm54c722.24$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.3631847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Storm53c655.18$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.217753.2%41 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Storm50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004942.9%21 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Liberty48c594.44$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.118633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Liberty79c572.52$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.575154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeac3…730ebacked Storm53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Liberty46c545.63$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.584835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Storm50c531.48$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.741258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Storm54c499.19$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.5611545.2%52 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b92…046ebacked Storm42c466.02$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed Storm53c387.26$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3545…741dbacked Liberty47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Liberty46c299.89$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9413044.6%58 W · 72 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Liberty63c281.28$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.284346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Storm54c276.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Storm36c275.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Liberty47c272.49$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.422330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Liberty58c264.15$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.686651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Liberty79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.165633.9%19 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55fc…8b73backed Storm50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Liberty47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7717541.1%72 W · 103 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Storm13c212$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.46624.8%3 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Liberty49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0811552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Liberty50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10027232.7%89 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Storm51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb9…b55ebacked Storm79c195.64$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.79475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1085…2d69backed Storm79c186.08$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Liberty38c160$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.220642.7%88 W · 118 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc22…ee03backed Liberty63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b0e…b61cbacked Liberty77c150.91$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Liberty47c146$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Storm53c141$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.73219.5%2 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-68%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Liberty79c140.51$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.512568%17 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Storm53c127.77$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7221440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Liberty41c123.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.674250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Liberty47c117.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.193420.6%7 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Liberty45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5512833.6%43 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Storm51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Storm53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Liberty38c89.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.363754.1%20 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Storm54c85$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.257542.7%32 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Liberty45c81.35$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.742437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc7…4592backed Storm50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Liberty51c77.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.938953.9%48 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Liberty80c73.31$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick77cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Storm53c61.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.795048%24 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Storm54c59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.861136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Storm53c43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.793663.9%23 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Liberty47c33.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.717855.1%43 W · 35 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1337…2b45backed Storm32c32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12050%10 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Liberty47c31.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.94042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…2d4dbacked Liberty50c27.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.76475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+112.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc71c…3b29backed Liberty74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-37.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Liberty54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24742.6%20 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Liberty73c17.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.826460.9%39 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.