TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,058

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,058 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5a4…5780backed Over49c7,587$3,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,869.593135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ea2…9ad4backed Under51c4,706$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40012855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over50c3,673$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.52,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over44c2,931$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.559,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0801,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c1,769$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.274,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c1,703$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Under53c1,690$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.941652.2%217 W · 199 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over50c1,635$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.261,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Under57c1,005$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57511159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under56c713.9$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.574,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under55c600$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33091050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over47c564.74$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.732,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under57c457.43$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.1625840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over44c434.78$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.482,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under57c415.9$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23747651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c54…364cbacked Under51c220.22$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under54c218.51$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11891846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee1…a27cbacked Under51c216$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.161145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe302…ad65backed Over50c216$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ee…6478backed Under51c209.1$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc1e…85e0backed Over50c209.1$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x590b…6aacbacked Under51c207.6$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf7…f162backed Over50c207.6$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd0…b7eabacked Under51c207.51$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3976…47f7backed Over50c207.51$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x630b…924cbacked Under51c206.4$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6366…0c85backed Over50c206.4$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efb…20b6backed Under51c205.8$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec8…10dcbacked Over50c205.8$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb0…e10cbacked Under51c204.9$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd976…f7cbbacked Over50c204.9$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a4…e52bbacked Over50c199.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a5…9f2cbacked Over50c193.8$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over44c192.05$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.661,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Under50c190.08$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0461747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c8…2399backed Over50c180$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…7046backed Under51c180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.81361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe547…654cbacked Under51c173.45$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.461457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over47c145.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6230845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c136.46$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.765,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over48c128.2$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.621,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Over46c109.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.317342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55fc…8b73backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under76c100.4$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9265872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5141052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over46c99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.461,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Under80c99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.26872.1%49 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Under61c81.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c1…18c7backed Under57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.614042.9%60 W · 80 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Under58c77.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4525752.5%135 W · 122 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e93…97e3backed Under53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over42c70.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4152552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…267abacked Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.677948.1%38 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over46c66.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c62.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.322,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Under52c57.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Under55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010457.7%60 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over45c54.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5558…f9c4backed Under54c52.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.237549.6%186 W · 189 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over45c51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.051,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over50c50.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.283,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Under58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2928056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf11b…3fe3backed Under57c49.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.56056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6725655.5%142 W · 114 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under54c41.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6424334.2%83 W · 160 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.288057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Under56c39.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.420847.1%98 W · 110 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4270…e461backed Under52c28.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.644742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2c0…d4dcbacked Under55c27.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.381040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4eb…05b5backed Over45c25.83$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.215054%27 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Under57c24.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415253.3%81 W · 71 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over46c24.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.962,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…ab18backed Over47c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.667851.3%40 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd31…565dbacked Under51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Under55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2079…c5c7backed Under55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.