NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb78abf20a85dc0c4067a694fa11d2243343bf8897fb4f186b246caf4656ab94b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,131,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,131,031 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 564,073$293,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270,920.1 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 48c | 300,000$144,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 121,528$60,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,621.39 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 48c | 70,000$33,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,600 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 51c | 46,472$23,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,771.06 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 53c | 26,725$14,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,164.23 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 23,706$11,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,936.87 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 23,284$11,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,620.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 50c | 20,419$10,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,209.32 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 50c | 18,057$9,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,022.53 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 49c | 13,392$6,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,602.16 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 51c | 13,122$6,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,429.77 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 51c | 12,800$6,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,272 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 51c | 11,941$6,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,090 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 10,722$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 47c | 10,088$4,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,345.49 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 50c | 10,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.99 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over | 57c | 8,754$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,754.46 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 8,400$4,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,113.46 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 7,313$3,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,723.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…e461backed Under | 50c | 5,824$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.74 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Under | 49c | 5,051$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 3,650$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.99 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 69c | 3,646$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 50c | 3,587$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.5 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 44c | 3,139$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.41 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 38c | 2,926$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.47 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 2,745$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.46 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 48c | 2,642$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.02 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 2,589$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.44 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 2,572$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.44 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 47c | 2,551$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.15 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 50c | 2,523$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.3 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Over | 47c | 2,454$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.1 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 2,406$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.65 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Under | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…e86cbacked Under | 59c | 2,056$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Under | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 1,838$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.62 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 1,737$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.05 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3ddebacked Over | 48c | 1,560$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 1,547$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.65 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 49c | 1,539$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 49c | 1,509$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.42 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.96 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 1,345$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 50c | 1,339$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.3 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 1,327$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,224$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.96 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 52c | 1,222$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.56 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 1,203$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.86 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 49c | 1,137$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.95 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Over | 47c | 1,136$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.08 | 314 | 55.1%173 W · 141 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 1,036$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.43 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 175 | 40.6%71 W · 104 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 36c | 995.79$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.2 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 32c | 993.55$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.86 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 51c | 980.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.37 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 61c | 950$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Under | 50c | 909.87$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 41c | 906.99$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.8 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 50c | 903$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.5 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 900.01$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 50c | 878.95$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…9ef3backed Under | 63c | 800.63$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.76 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 788.98$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.67 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 49c | 763.65$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.19 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 50c | 694.08$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.04 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 47c | 688.68$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 55c | 635.46$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.03 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 51c | 626.88$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.71 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 590.54$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.36 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Under | 49c | 560.31$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.55 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…906bbacked Under | 71c | 516.21$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Under | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Under | 67c | 454.84$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.47 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 49c | 454.02$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.26 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 42c | 422$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.85 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…6c61backed Under | 49c | 411.49$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.63 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5this page
- Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Warriors won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Warriors vs. RocketsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.