NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d6121e225a893b1070eb1ab4f43a213b0411efa161f8a82b94956495fde385e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,730 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 51c | 9,783$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 7,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 51c | 3,940$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.6 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 3,764$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.61 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 50c | 1,673$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.6 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 54c | 1,560$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,525$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 1,405$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.3 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 46c | 1,201$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.43 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 868.48$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 794$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 612.1$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.86 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…e503backed Under | 47c | 582.84$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.93 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 557.49$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.76 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 520.28$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.63 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 457.03$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.09 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 50c | 410$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 47c | 245.57$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.42 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 40c | 238.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.32 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e1…d4d9backed Over | 53c | 201.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.37per pick | 55cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 199.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…5df7backed Over | 53c | 196.63$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe46c…8526backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…687ebacked Over | 53c | 185.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Over | 50c | 140.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 47c | 130.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…e717backed Under | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 118.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 51c | 112.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…526bbacked Over | 51c | 109.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 101.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed5…b57dbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…0478backed Over | 51c | 98.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cf…6639backed Over | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…ea8ebacked Under | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 49c | 83.45$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 77.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…9ac6backed Over | 58c | 69.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Over | 53c | 59.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 47c | 59.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 56c | 57.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 56.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 51c | 53.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 50c | 44.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 40.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 38c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 46c | 34.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 34.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 33.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 48c | 22.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 22.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6a…d38abacked Under | 50c | 20.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5this page
- Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Warriors won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Warriors vs. RocketsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.