NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8fbbee6a410d83d34331f19116c11392ee5cee8b4349c298a45293fd6e30fd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,363 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2a4…c6a4backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 40c | 4,917$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,932.51 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 4,079$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 3,976$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 50c | 3,787$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.62 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 52c | 3,441$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.7 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 47c | 2,364$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.7 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 1,851$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.29 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 52c | 1,731$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 54c | 1,297$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.46 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 52c | 1,173$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.69 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…9efbbacked Under | 49c | 980$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c9…c6cfbacked Over | 51c | 896$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…2bb7backed Under | 52c | 865.39$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…2498backed Over | 51c | 861$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e26…954bbacked Under | 49c | 836$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…ad01backed Over | 51c | 809$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f6…9d93backed Under | 49c | 808$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe005…e3c7backed Under | 49c | 776$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fc…d776backed Over | 51c | 691$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 48c | 631$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.12 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 46c | 555.73$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.09 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 51c | 509.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 52c | 509.07$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.72 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 454.79$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.64 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 425.53$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.79 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 330.82$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 280.76$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.61 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Over | 48c | 143.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.33 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 139.09$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.46 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 110.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 50c | 101.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 93.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d4…157dbacked Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…e717backed Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 81.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 298 | 44%131 W · 167 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 71.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Under | 46c | 71.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…dddfbacked Under | 63c | 67.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…4b69backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…ec0abacked Over | 51c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 45c | 51.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 48c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 40c | 50.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 51c | 50.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 58c | 50.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc52e…0a1cbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 45c | 37.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Under | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 53c | 34.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 46c | 32.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd745…223abacked Under | 49c | 31.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Under | 54c | 29.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 49c | 27.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 60c | 24.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5this page
- Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)Warriors won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Warriors vs. RocketsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.