TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,288 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4488…579cbacked Yes33c1,334$446 inLost-$44677549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No66c1,289$853 inWon+$43690863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No66c631.27$417 inWon+$213.841,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce64…9b19backed Yes33c601.25$200 inLost-$20090%0 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed No69c376.77$260 inWon+$116.9425840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No63c303.12$191 inWon+$11265762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22fb…26a7backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost-$1001513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.19per pick32cpaid-58.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95a0…c0e2backed Yes37c270.11$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No65c267.81$174 inWon+$93.454,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5577…f320backed Yes32c232.84$74 inLost-$741216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ef7…2ed1backed Yes37c189.19$70 inLost-$70911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x345d…4e41backed No68c180.31$123 inWon+$57.719267.4%62 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Yes34c166.97$56 inLost-$566354%34 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed No66c128.75$85 inWon+$44.041,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4729…8cfdbacked Yes36c123.76$45 inLost-$455139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb48e…d489backed Yes35c109.89$39 inLost-$395440.7%22 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost-$305836.2%21 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed No68c100$68 inWon+$31.595260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1150…e701backed Yes12c95.44$12 inLost-$11.691811.1%2 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-81.4%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No65c76.92$50 inWon+$26.9297049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5430…c1d3backed No67c75$50 inWon+$24.7522774.4%169 W · 58 L+22.5wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+15.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes30c73.57$22 inLost-$22.343,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No61c65.5$40 inWon+$25.4488057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked No67c62.85$42 inWon+$20.9392058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47b8…76f2backed Yes48c62.5$30 inLost-$302352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No67c36.54$24 inWon+$12.283158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabdd…2d96backed No67c29.99$20 inWon+$9.960267.3%405 W · 197 L+46.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2691…f3b8backed Yes50c20$10 inLost-$104131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.