NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaddd8d11d5263ed36b9dfe20cf92d9a837f049904cec5918a09b9083d72d57a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Rockets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,176,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,176,332 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 50c | 485,459$242,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242,729.33 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 50c | 457,216$228,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228,428.07 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Warriors | 50c | 269,039$134,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,675.55 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rockets | 50c | 200,000$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Rockets | 50c | 117,462$58,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,730.84 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Warriors | 50c | 95,703$47,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,908.89 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Rockets | 50c | 90,000$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 50c | 70,000$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,000 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockets | 51c | 39,038$19,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,909.46 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 49c | 37,001$18,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,700.36 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Rockets | 50c | 31,801$15,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,962.22 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Warriors | 49c | 28,442$13,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,505.59 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 50c | 25,051$12,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,594.32 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Rockets | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 50c | 19,553$9,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,752.11 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Warriors | 49c | 13,304$6,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,734.86 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rockets | 51c | 12,983$6,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,571.63 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Rockets | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 48c | 9,038$4,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Warriors | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.98 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Rockets | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Rockets | 50c | 6,360$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Warriors | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Rockets | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.99 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Warriors | 53c | 4,953$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,337.76 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Rockets | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets | 50c | 4,186$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Warriors | 53c | 3,790$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.33 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Warriors | 52c | 3,397$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.42 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Warriors | 54c | 3,380$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.63 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Rockets | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Rockets | 47c | 3,188$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.2 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Rockets | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 31c | 2,929$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Warriors | 52c | 2,709$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.28 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors | 49c | 2,658$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.65 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets | 41c | 2,212$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.04 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 49c | 2,061$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.17 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Warriors | 54c | 2,026$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.93 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,950$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.1 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 54c | 1,777$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.42 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Warriors | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,593$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.31 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,520$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.6 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Warriors | 61c | 1,325$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.93 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockets | 47c | 1,321$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.94 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets | 50c | 1,207$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.79 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Rockets | 48c | 1,134$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.43 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Rockets | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Rockets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Rockets | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 52c | 926.47$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.71 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Warriors | 74c | 916.1$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.87 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Rockets | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Rockets | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Rockets | 51c | 799.43$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.71 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…a88dbacked Rockets | 49c | 792$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.61 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Rockets | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 49c | 709$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.95 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Rockets | 47c | 680.87$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.01 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Rockets | 51c | 649.12$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.8 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Warriors | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.15 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Rockets | 38c | 601.04$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.42 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Rockets | 49c | 545.63$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.36 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Warriors | 54c | 543$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.78 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets | 23c | 527.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Rockets | 51c | 505.05$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.58 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Rockets | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Warriors | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Rockets | 35c | 499.39$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.04 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Rockets | 50c | 497.79$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.9 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Rockets | 47c | 481.5$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.3 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Warriors | 51c | 465.12$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.15 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Rockets | 48c | 462.5$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rockets | 49c | 459.33$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Warriors | 52c | 454.49$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.16 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Rockets | 51c | 409.98$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Warriors | 51c | 404.04$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Rockets | 52c | 403.12$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.69 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Warriors | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Warriors | 60c | 398.91$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.74 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Rockets | 5c | 389.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 48c | 362.29$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.59 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Warriors | 51c | 327.19$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.8 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Warriors | 49c | 317$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets | 50c | 309.21$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.61 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Rockets | 49c | 305.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Warriors | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Rockets | 47c | 300$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.59 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Warriors | 52c | 288.93$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Warriors | 74c | 265.3$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Warriors | 50c | 262.35$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.18 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Warriors | 50c | 259.9$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Warriors | 54c | 238.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.69 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Warriors | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Warriors | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 28 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-9.5)this page
- Al Horford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jabari Smith Jr.: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Warriors won
- Tari Eason: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Warriors vs. RocketsWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 103.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 104.5Under won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 212.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 213.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 214.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 215.5Over won
- Warriors vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.