TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Holy Cross Crusaders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsof Loyola Maryland Greyhounds, Holy Cross Crusaders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcdb8…abbebacked Holy Cross Crusaders29c1,167$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.551,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds74c855.47$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.292,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds75c718.6$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4634943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Holy Cross Crusaders27c601.35$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.394,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Holy Cross Crusaders15c512.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3577142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds56c487.79$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.241,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Holy Cross Crusaders54c335.06$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.931,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds48c299.95$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.972,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds48c275.64$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.51,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds75c221.65$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.614,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds48c206.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.391,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Holy Cross Crusaders17c196.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.811,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds49c192.3$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.076740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Holy Cross Crusaders53c181.97$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4444549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Holy Cross Crusaders52c178.43$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7814244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Holy Cross Crusaders14c173.11$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0870936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Holy Cross Crusaders52c149.71$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.851,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Holy Cross Crusaders41c144.14$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3736535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Holy Cross Crusaders8c144.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8194036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds48c116.39$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.531,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds48c103.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6983350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds48c103.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.694,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2b…cb3abacked Holy Cross Crusaders44c99.14$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.626549.2%32 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds47c99.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.541,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55fc…8b73backed Holy Cross Crusaders52c95.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.562548%12 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Holy Cross Crusaders25c92.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2253635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds62c91.98$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.955,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5581…c029backed Holy Cross Crusaders13c85.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.574035%14 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Holy Cross Crusaders26c80.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.033,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds48c60.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2493447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x752e…ecbfbacked Holy Cross Crusaders52c57.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.747352.1%38 W · 35 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Holy Cross Crusaders52c47.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8958652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Holy Cross Crusaders52c47.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7817551.4%90 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Holy Cross Crusaders45c47.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4120834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Holy Cross Crusaders52c43.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.782,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds48c41.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6116755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Holy Cross Crusaders51c36.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.717945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Holy Cross Crusaders52c28.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8716746.1%77 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c5…44a2backed Holy Cross Crusaders52c28.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.874845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3392…de47backed Holy Cross Crusaders39c26.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.441323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Holy Cross Crusaders52c26.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8849849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Holy Cross Crusaders51c19.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1148551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.