NHL · resolved market
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb41cb007a11a02af0fe2d6f9d239d99493d3415039f29be073d860c0c36813e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskof Admiral Vladivostok, Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,103 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 63c | 3,490$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.36 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Admiral Vladivostok | 37c | 867.68$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.24 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Admiral Vladivostok | 42c | 616.88$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.09 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Admiral Vladivostok | 37c | 481.34$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.01 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Admiral Vladivostok | 36c | 453.89$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Admiral Vladivostok | 37c | 336.48$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Admiral Vladivostok | 38c | 199.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 67c | 199.69$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed Admiral Vladivostok | 36c | 195.71$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 62c | 169.04$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Admiral Vladivostok | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 64c | 155.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Admiral Vladivostok | 36c | 136$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Admiral Vladivostok | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 63c | 118.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Admiral Vladivostok | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Admiral Vladivostok | 36c | 104.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Admiral Vladivostok | 36c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 79c | 70.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Admiral Vladivostok | 41c | 64.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Admiral Vladivostok | 39c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Admiral Vladivostok | 37c | 50.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Admiral Vladivostok | 22c | 46.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Admiral Vladivostok | 40c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2030…e89cbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.