TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2030…e89c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.9
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+264.9%+$278.33
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$310.86
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.88
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.75
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.01
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.18
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.58
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$819.85
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.48
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.46
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.44
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.04
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Pacers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$9.65
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$19.4
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$23.63
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22.01
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+31.7%+$6.63
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagebacked Team Novaq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Omega (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagebacked Omega · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - IZI WEX Playoffsbacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+72.4%+$11.68
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs los kogutos (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+37%+$5.92
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.05
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.14
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-40.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Wichita: Malaika Rapolu vs Lea Mabacked Lea Ma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.12
BNP Paribas Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+70%+$18.07
BNP Paribas Open: Jaqueline Cristian vs Maya Jointbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13.14
BNP Paribas Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Talia Gibsonbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Antalya 2: Katarzyna Kawa vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Kigali: Stefano Napolitano vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Antalya 2: Anhelina Kalinina vs Panna Udvardybacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+38.9%+$15.56
Antalya 2: Moyuka Uchijima vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-68.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Admiral Vladivostok vs. Neftekhimik Nizhnekamskbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
KHL: Amur Khabarovsk vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufabacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.12
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$19.16
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16.37
All 4 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.27
First Round Pool A: Panama vs. Cubabacked Cuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Long Beach State Beach vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Long Beach State Beach · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.22
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO5) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+34.4%+$6.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series Malaysia vs Bahrain: Malaysia vs Bahrainbacked Malaysia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.