CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2115be3e74b94e9c5ef1e3d82fa274d1ba43b8fd090d34201f1a6888ddf46157
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Novaqof Team Novaq, ENCE Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,695 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ENCE Academy | 50c | 2,444$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Team Novaq | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ENCE Academy | 2c | 932$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Team Novaq | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ENCE Academy | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Novaq | 57c | 454.94$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ENCE Academy | 44c | 423.79$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.47 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Novaq | 53c | 416.28$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.54 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ENCE Academy | 34c | 312.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked ENCE Academy | 44c | 229.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed ENCE Academy | 44c | 228.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Team Novaq | 59c | 162.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…88dbbacked Team Novaq | 47c | 156.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed ENCE Academy | 50c | 156$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Team Novaq | 45c | 129.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed ENCE Academy | 42c | 70.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Novaq | 50c | 70.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Team Novaq | 63c | 67.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed ENCE Academy | 57c | 61.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed ENCE Academy | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ee…111bbacked Team Novaq | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed ENCE Academy | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Team Novaq | 59c | 39.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed ENCE Academy | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…8a3cbacked Team Novaq | 72c | 34.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…2ea6backed Team Novaq | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Novaq | 55c | 28.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed ENCE Academy | 49c | 28.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…692dbacked ENCE Academy | 44c | 25.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed ENCE Academy | 45c | 24.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed Team Novaq | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Team Novaq | 49c | 22.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315d…b420backed Team Novaq | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2030…e89cbacked Team Novaq | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.