Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wichita: Malaika Rapolu vs Lea Ma
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf06aa6ccbfa3765a00a54fe345abd8fd264c2385a837f8e81c70431797feb0ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lea Maof Malaika Rapolu, Lea Ma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Lea Ma | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Malaika Rapolu | 43c | 956.01$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.03 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Malaika Rapolu | 47c | 582.61$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Malaika Rapolu | 41c | 519.85$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.14 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lea Ma | 54c | 433.91$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.49 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Lea Ma | 59c | 380$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lea Ma | 55c | 223.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lea Ma | 55c | 188.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Malaika Rapolu | 36c | 171.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lea Ma | 59c | 123.89$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Malaika Rapolu | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Malaika Rapolu | 49c | 94.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Malaika Rapolu | 45c | 82.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lea Ma | 55c | 77.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Malaika Rapolu | 50c | 53.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lea Ma | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Lea Ma | 60c | 37.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Lea Ma | 56c | 36.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Lea Ma | 53c | 34.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2030…e89cbacked Lea Ma | 59c | 27.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Lea Ma | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Malaika Rapolu | 43c | 25.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lea Ma | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.