TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

First Round Pool A: Panama vs. Cuba

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cubaof Panama, Cuba
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,030 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e6e…be00backed Panama39c48,021$18,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,611.447353.4%39 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cuba61c15,017$9,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,829.2732152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Cuba61c14,136$8,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,537.8198149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Panama40c10,530$4,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,196.0120548.3%99 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Cuba61c9,894$6,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,858.812045%9 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Cuba61c8,623$5,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,365.472231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid-39.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Panama40c6,066$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,420.015442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Cuba62c5,651$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,151.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Panama39c4,969$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.731030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Panama33c4,951$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.7712247.5%58 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf83d…367dbacked Cuba60c3,947$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.286145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f9…e81bbacked Panama40c3,800$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb09e…3a13backed Cuba60c3,404$2,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfca3…1164backed Cuba60c2,800$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78e3…0f00backed Panama40c2,800$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Panama8c2,695$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.1314251.4%73 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Cuba61c2,340$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.611547%54 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Cuba60c2,278$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.171656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Cuba63c2,200$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81824651.6%127 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Cuba61c2,080$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.4640846.1%188 W · 220 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Cuba59c2,000$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.341,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb908…d807backed Cuba76c1,988$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.014100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcad…df78backed Cuba64c1,560$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.610930.3%33 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cuba67c1,554$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Panama8c1,443$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Cuba63c1,352$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.688948.3%43 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Cuba62c1,300$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4941241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Panama41c1,241$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.8960941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Cuba61c1,222$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.544250%21 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Panama40c1,207$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.658247.6%39 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2002…de36backed Cuba61c1,120$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.67887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick63cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Panama15c1,080$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.411,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Cuba62c1,029$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.841844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Cuba61c1,001$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.515754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Panama13c999.84$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.857128.2%20 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Cuba61c983.61$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.611050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Panama38c974.82$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.747634.2%26 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Panama38c935.28$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.431038.4%119 W · 191 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Panama10c920$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Cuba62c840.28$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.9749450%247 W · 247 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…4925backed Cuba61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.675100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+111.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cuba72c789.25$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.042,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Cuba62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1666448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Panama17c640$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.83250%16 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+59%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Panama40c626.1$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.446749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Cuba62c563.33$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.336653%35 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Panama3c560$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8336.1%2 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+66.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db5…5504backed Panama32c545.28$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+316.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Panama40c530.93$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.812123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Cuba60c512.63$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.432259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Panama41c496$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.534544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Panama40c469.76$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Cuba60c455.27$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.51,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Panama19c432.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.441,91253%1,014 W · 898 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd4…6eafbacked Panama24c420$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.81540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x686e…3415backed Panama11c404.15$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.360%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Cuba61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15621748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Panama20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Panama36c372.34$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9755541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Panama14c357.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Panama39c349.61$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.491,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd0…2222backed Cuba64c338$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0811346.9%53 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cuba60c330$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13250751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6c…d41abacked Cuba63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.46475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Panama7c301.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.151936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Cuba60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1207243.1%31 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Panama6c300$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.141,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Panama38c299.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-39%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Panama44c275.56$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Cuba62c268.75$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.13922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Cuba61c260$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.414549%71 W · 74 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc345…2c35backed Panama39c255.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Cuba60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10038245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd3…b751backed Panama8c249.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Cuba60c249.18$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.186857.4%39 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Cuba60c248.89$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+96.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Cuba61c239.4$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.372552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Cuba61c234.95$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.636063.3%38 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Cuba76c231$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2710353.4%55 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7906…1432backed Cuba61c207.57$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.951172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9450…d9e6backed Cuba61c207.4$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.541850%9 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Cuba62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768159.3%48 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Panama39c199.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb24f…c638backed Cuba61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.72771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Panama6c179.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick4cpaid+140.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Cuba62c176.16$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.941361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Cuba62c170$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.62560%15 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Cuba60c168$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.272247.6%344 W · 378 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Panama12c165$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.814724.5%36 W · 111 L-0.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2c…bba5backed Cuba62c161.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Cuba62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2928045.7%128 W · 152 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Panama41c147.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Cuba61c146.29$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.875354.7%29 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66a3…48febacked Cuba60c140.01$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Panama39c134.91$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3550655.3%280 W · 226 L+29.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x245e…5888backed Panama38c130.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Cuba68c129$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.737750.6%39 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe73d…cbf8backed Panama39c127.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Cuba73c124$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.025944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c0…d72dbacked Panama41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.