Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8a2d829dfb215f89939c74d8c4b9e29b18ca2469d160471faf0ab4580b2340e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof OG, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,688 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed OG | 2c | 54,539$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.06 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed OG | 60c | 29,350$17,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,677.07 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked OG | 59c | 13,115$7,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,737.77 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 12,857$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,357.14 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 8,455$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995.52 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 5,705$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,185.74 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked OG | 1c | 5,400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 4,580$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.91 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Vici Gaming | 61c | 4,547$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768.81 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 4,531$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,051.43 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked OG | 56c | 4,000$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.38 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 3,912$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.41 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed OG | 59c | 3,043$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.39 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 2,966$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.19 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vici Gaming | 33c | 2,724$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.24 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 38c | 2,668$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked OG | 15c | 2,502$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.85 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed OG | 13c | 2,467$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.5 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 2,372$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.67 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27bb…de7ebacked Vici Gaming | 34c | 2,330$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +141.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…40e1backed OG | 66c | 2,150$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…f8b8backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 1,998$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.57 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 1,980$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.32 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked OG | 66c | 1,952$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed OG | 66c | 1,914$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.82 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed OG | 66c | 1,867$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 1,856$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.35 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OG | 32c | 1,749$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.34 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed OG | 67c | 1,667$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.25 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked OG | 59c | 1,641$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.83 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 1,618$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.78 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed OG | 63c | 1,582$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.35 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed OG | 56c | 1,578$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.52 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked OG | 66c | 1,555$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.3 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…eb13backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,499$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed OG | 35c | 1,469$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.88 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked OG | 3c | 1,440$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -71%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed OG | 68c | 1,413$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.21 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 35c | 1,400$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.95 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 1,333$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.95 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked OG | 38c | 1,306$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 1,290$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.48 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed OG | 66c | 1,285$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 1,201$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.71 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed OG | 43c | 1,133$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.8 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Vici Gaming | 72c | 1,096$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.39 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked OG | 29c | 1,090$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.84 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 1,017$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.93 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Vici Gaming | 39c | 1,003$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.56 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 999.97$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.98 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd2…0c9dbacked OG | 50c | 996.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked OG | 50c | 996.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed OG | 61c | 974.28$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.49 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 26c | 962.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ca23backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 941.51$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed OG | 54c | 925.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Vici Gaming | 34c | 908.89$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.89 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…d109backed OG | 68c | 901.67$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 856.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.05 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed OG | 61c | 839.06$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…0390backed OG | 66c | 829.84$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed OG | 23c | 821.09$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.92 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked OG | 45c | 805.48$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.07 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed OG | 44c | 750.48$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.21 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed OG | 1c | 747.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed OG | 70c | 715.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…2014backed OG | 71c | 707.77$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Vici Gaming | 65c | 675.88$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.85 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…48a9backed OG | 31c | 647$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 646.11$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.29 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked OG | 66c | 646.02$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.03 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…2d20backed OG | 67c | 644.91$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed OG | 18c | 624.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.16 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed OG | 71c | 606.86$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.09 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG | 31c | 602.24$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.79 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed OG | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed OG | 14c | 599.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…15f2backed OG | 65c | 596.34$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.95 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 585.21$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.31 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed OG | 13c | 558.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Vici Gaming | 35c | 556.42$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.67 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked OG | 16c | 542.41$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 523.83$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.95 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked OG | 60c | 523.58$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.91 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd6…96c4backed OG | 50c | 503.71$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Vici Gaming | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked OG | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked OG | 3c | 499.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed OG | 64c | 494$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.52 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed OG | 68c | 483$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.44 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked OG | 36c | 474$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.64 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 62c | 464.52$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…6a21backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 453.49$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed OG | 67c | 448.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.12 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed OG | 66c | 444$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.08 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c20ebacked OG | 66c | 423.15$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerOG won
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)OG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.