Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2420f9df5a629ebfb3547436c4e3557dc2272ce75c542cd26906074eeed7963f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,748 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked OG | 50c | 20,541$10,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,353.15 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed OG | 58c | 6,193$3,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.18 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 5,516$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.7 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked OG | 60c | 4,968$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.19 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 3,817$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.15 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed OG | 63c | 3,486$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.37 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed OG | 57c | 3,000$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.98 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 2,517$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71fa…c7e1backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 2,227$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.68 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 2,198$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed OG | 53c | 2,039$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.72 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked OG | 46c | 1,961$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.43 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 1,657$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.3 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 1,651$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.32 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Vici Gaming | 9c | 1,555$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 1,467$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…6a21backed Vici Gaming | 25c | 1,284$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…ae95backed Vici Gaming | 3c | 1,212$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 168 | 21.4%36 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…9cd5backed Vici Gaming | 15c | 1,189$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 1,131$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.11 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Vici Gaming | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 922.93$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.95 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 906.8$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.12 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 898.6$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.68 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OG | 57c | 875.87$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.62 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 841.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.56 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Vici Gaming | 38c | 748.52$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.75 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Vici Gaming | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Vici Gaming | 60c | 670.08$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 55c | 643.53$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.53 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 623$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.66 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed OG | 79c | 591.12$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.31 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 554.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 150 | 64.7%97 W · 53 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 552.26$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.79 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Vici Gaming | 42c | 506.87$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed OG | 59c | 505.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.97 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 440$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Vici Gaming | 44c | 438.64$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 438$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.9 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Vici Gaming | 5c | 402.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Vici Gaming | 40c | 400$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.75 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed OG | 51c | 392.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.69 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Vici Gaming | 43c | 320$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed OG | 77c | 317.39$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 281.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…15f2backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 279.74$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 269.92$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…ad59backed Vici Gaming | 18c | 250$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Vici Gaming | 30c | 242.28$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 226.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…025abacked Vici Gaming | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d99…8c5cbacked OG | 69c | 203.09$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed OG | 55c | 202.28$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed OG | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa370…06fbbacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 189.05$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked OG | 58c | 185.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.93 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Vici Gaming | 13c | 168.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…5b84backed Vici Gaming | 51c | 164.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked OG | 55c | 159.23$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 142.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 129.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 120.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Vici Gaming | 16c | 120.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 118.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x289e…5802backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 112.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Vici Gaming | 22c | 111.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 110.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8521backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf10…ab22backed OG | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…e5dabacked OG | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed OG | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…d83bbacked OG | 55c | 99.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Vici Gaming | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed OG | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 84.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 79.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed Vici Gaming | 16c | 79.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 76.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Vici Gaming | 31c | 76.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 73.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Vici Gaming | 46c | 71.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed OG | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c7…133dbacked Vici Gaming | 46c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 62.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Vici Gaming | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Vici Gaming | 20c | 57.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Vici Gaming | 21c | 56.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: OG vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Game Handicap: VG (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)OG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.