MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a37b2cff571f43662ad4b3ec4963052dcff73d7754e04c042095e1c2d573c53

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: New York Metsof New York Mets, Washington Nationals
Resolved: May 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,246,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,446,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,246,751 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 615 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals	41c	189,867$77,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77,575.23	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5291…d4b6backed New York Mets	53c	115,081$60,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,145.39	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked New York Mets	51c	100,000$51,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48,999.91	133	40.6%54 W · 79 L	-14.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed New York Mets	49c	63,496$31,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,070.23	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Washington Nationals	50c	55,003$27,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,269.78	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals	49c	36,416$17,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,900.71	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals	44c	32,282$14,169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,168.89	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Washington Nationals	49c	32,222$15,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,788.73	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1b…8697backed New York Mets	52c	26,485$13,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,712.98	140	42.9%60 W · 80 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals	50c	25,904$12,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,952.06	435	54%235 W · 200 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa66d…6daabacked Washington Nationals	28c	21,508$5,952 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,952	211	47.9%101 W · 110 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets	48c	20,977$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,977.26	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Washington Nationals	50c	19,518$9,856 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,855.65	238	46.6%111 W · 127 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed New York Mets	51c	19,295$9,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,454.53	176	52.8%93 W · 83 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Washington Nationals	48c	16,427$7,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,885.04	630	52.7%332 W · 298 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets	51c	14,343$7,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,027.98	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked New York Mets	64c	13,271$8,493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,777.58	156	44.9%70 W · 86 L	+11.7wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Washington Nationals	29c	11,634$3,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,388	122	27.9%34 W · 88 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce36…2b99backed Washington Nationals	29c	11,075$3,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,211.69	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Mets	53c	10,853$5,729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,124	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed New York Mets	47c	10,677$5,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,621.26	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Washington Nationals	49c	10,174$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	294	49.7%146 W · 148 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Washington Nationals	35c	10,162$3,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,587.32	32	65.6%21 W · 11 L	+4.5wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Washington Nationals	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	1,292	50.2%648 W · 644 L	+18.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Washington Nationals	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,899.98	124	57.3%71 W · 53 L	+7.7wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5234…4c4fbacked New York Mets	52c	9,978$5,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,793.42	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Washington Nationals	37c	9,341$3,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,456	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Washington Nationals	27c	9,085$2,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,418.06	252	40.1%101 W · 151 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Washington Nationals	26c	8,000$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,080	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets	48c	6,928$3,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,581.55	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a9…e2dbbacked New York Mets	73c	6,876$5,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,856.76	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	63cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed New York Mets	69c	6,333$4,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,963.23	45	73.3%33 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	68cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals	35c	5,576$1,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,973.22	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals	48c	5,458$2,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,619.63	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b88…9856backed New York Mets	47c	5,000$2,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,650	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Washington Nationals	30c	5,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	79	34.2%27 W · 52 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked New York Mets	51c	4,999$2,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,449.55	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-5.1wins	-0.22per pick	53cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Washington Nationals	54c	4,377$2,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,367	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Mets	50c	4,330$2,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,165.01	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe7…68f3backed New York Mets	79c	4,245$3,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$882.55	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed New York Mets	65c	4,225$2,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,497.69	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbcf…63bdbacked Washington Nationals	4c	4,000$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Washington Nationals	50c	3,952$1,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,976	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+5.1wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets	66c	3,951$2,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,354.41	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…698dbacked New York Mets	73c	3,904$2,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,054.11	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets	51c	3,800$1,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,878.04	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals	38c	3,724$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400.47	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals	50c	3,629$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed New York Mets	51c	3,525$1,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,727.34	432	53.9%233 W · 199 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed New York Mets	74c	3,385$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$885.2	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals	49c	3,210$1,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,557.18	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed New York Mets	62c	3,200$1,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,216	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Washington Nationals	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470	672	50.1%337 W · 335 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Washington Nationals	21c	3,000$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.99	246	39%96 W · 150 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Washington Nationals	28c	2,906$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.65	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	+7.9wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Washington Nationals	47c	2,880$1,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,353.6	299	48.8%146 W · 153 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets	55c	2,835$1,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,276.59	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals	50c	2,743$1,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,371.66	891	53.5%477 W · 414 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ec…64c8backed New York Mets	51c	2,708$1,381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,326.84	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed New York Mets	75c	2,658$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.45	250	66.4%166 W · 84 L	-7.4wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals	32c	2,592$839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.41	600	43.3%260 W · 340 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Washington Nationals	50c	2,501$1,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,238.13	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Nationals	49c	2,500$1,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,225	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Washington Nationals	37c	2,446$916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$916.04	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed New York Mets	50c	2,307$1,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,145.65	866	53%459 W · 407 L	+16.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Mets	54c	2,284$1,243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040.8	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked New York Mets	52c	2,251$1,171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080.48	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals	38c	2,230$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.35	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0574…3ee0backed Washington Nationals	23c	2,174$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	28	17.9%5 W · 23 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Washington Nationals	49c	2,043$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,001.18	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Washington Nationals	34c	2,010$685 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$685	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed New York Mets	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	249	46.2%115 W · 134 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Washington Nationals	49c	1,931$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945.95	288	50.3%145 W · 143 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99aa…6c5abacked Washington Nationals	13c	1,770$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.1	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-2.0wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Washington Nationals	31c	1,770$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets	50c	1,600$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65c9…cf56backed New York Mets	72c	1,454$1,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.98	34	67.6%23 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets	48c	1,448$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.21	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed New York Mets	52c	1,402$729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$673.11	211	46.4%98 W · 113 L	+13.0wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked New York Mets	50c	1,380$694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$685.97	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed New York Mets	59c	1,374$811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$563.34	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed New York Mets	70c	1,371$954 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.04	1,083	56.3%610 W · 473 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Washington Nationals	32c	1,329$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.89	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Washington Nationals	49c	1,250$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.5	383	53.5%205 W · 178 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa969…1a84backed Washington Nationals	48c	1,184$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.32	174	52.9%92 W · 82 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Washington Nationals	29c	1,175$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.95	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals	35c	1,134$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.66	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed New York Mets	50c	1,100$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Washington Nationals	48c	1,100$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.99	167	53.9%90 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Washington Nationals	56c	1,079$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.51	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Washington Nationals	47c	1,073$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+7.4wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f36…2819backed New York Mets	47c	1,068$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.87	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Washington Nationals	32c	1,067$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.58	397	39.5%157 W · 240 L	+6.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked New York Mets	52c	1,037$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.03	701	54.2%380 W · 321 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals	37c	1,027$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.58	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed New York Mets	46c	1,000$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Washington Nationals	37c	1,000$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c67…1075backed Washington Nationals	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	51	72.5%37 W · 14 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	64cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Washington Nationals	49c	999.97$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.98	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed New York Mets	52c	981.94$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.11	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	52cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 3.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 4.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)New York Mets won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)New York Mets won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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