MLB · resolved market

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf80842e391fa9c123ca92c624affbfb9c77c064ae401d96163dd27d78736ba51

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $79,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $90,223

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,880 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	54c	21,313$11,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,517.13	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under	49c	15,627$7,642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,985.62	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under	46c	8,692$3,998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,693.68	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.11per pick	38cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	54c	8,548$4,616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,615.92	2,310	52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L	+27.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	43c	5,579$2,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,405.35	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over	54c	4,000$2,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,139.79	249	46.2%115 W · 134 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	45c	2,850$1,288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,562.08	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	54c	2,586$1,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,178.59	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	54c	2,391$1,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,092.11	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	46c	2,310$1,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,247.4	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Over	54c	2,241$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,210.14	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	46c	2,078$956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,121.91	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	46c	2,060$948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,112.4	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under	60c	1,914$1,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760.85	96	57.3%55 W · 41 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over	44c	1,851$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	46c	1,782$820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$962.52	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	46c	1,740$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$939.6	1,922	53.4%1,027 W · 895 L	+28.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	37c	1,621$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.51	2,093	51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L	+44.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	46c	1,502$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$811.13	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	57c	1,257$721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.96	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	62c	1,133$706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.3	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over	35c	1,078$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.67	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	172	52.9%91 W · 81 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	46c	988.33$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.63	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over	56c	892.86$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	104	46.2%48 W · 56 L	-8.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under	58c	853.84$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.84	301	50.8%153 W · 148 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	43c	731.52$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.19	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	46c	682.68$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.65	2,329	49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L	+41.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Under	47c	583.98$274 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.51	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c57…40febacked Under	46c	571.89$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.82	215	50.2%108 W · 107 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over	54c	567$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.18	228	48.2%110 W · 118 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x354b…4744backed Over	54c	555.56$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd3…5896backed Under	46c	549.99$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297	174	46%80 W · 94 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under	60c	500.25$298 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.11	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…06acbacked Under	43c	499.99$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.7wins	+0.42per pick	33cpaid	+183.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	46c	400$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216	959	50.1%480 W · 479 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over	41c	397$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.21	4,087	57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L	+66.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61dd…bb24backed Under	52c	387.17$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.17	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	25c	374.09$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.5	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69ad…365abacked Over	57c	333.99$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.08	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.2wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2fbc…f944backed Under	74c	300$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over	54c	277.78$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	947	34.4%326 W · 621 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	29c	271.7$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.54	999	24.6%246 W · 753 L	-70.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	56c	246.68$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.14	481	45.3%218 W · 263 L	-15.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under	69c	245.51$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.75	795	55.6%442 W · 353 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Under	47c	218.68$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.9	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cdc…25d5backed Over	51c	213.26$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.76	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	639	43.3%277 W · 362 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over	54c	199.98$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.99	282	58.5%165 W · 117 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over	54c	194.44$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	1,000	52.4%524 W · 476 L	+5.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over	51c	171$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.21	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ded…3350backed Under	47c	170.21$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.21	81	40.7%33 W · 48 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under	46c	153.64$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.85	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under	65c	149.47$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.59	2,588	61.5%1,591 W · 997 L	+72.3wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Over	54c	148.15$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under	74c	142$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.71	1,630	55.2%899 W · 731 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	34c	135$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.35	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over	55c	129.99$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.5	496	49.8%247 W · 249 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over	56c	120$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.2	1,753	50.8%890 W · 863 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6158…81bcbacked Over	54c	120$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-6.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Under	65c	108.22$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.4	1,040	51.8%539 W · 501 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	846	51.5%436 W · 410 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	46c	95.67$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.66	3,841	42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	23c	88.47$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under	53c	79$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.13	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Over	53c	74.27$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.69	128	58.6%75 W · 53 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under	66c	70.38$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.21	660	56.2%371 W · 289 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under	47c	67.72$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.89	1,003	44.6%447 W · 556 L	-23.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa89…ccd2backed Over	57c	66.67$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	-8.3wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	486	51%248 W · 238 L	-18.0wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc78…f1f5backed Over	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	263	51.3%135 W · 128 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	428	49.1%210 W · 218 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a92…1f2dbacked Under	47c	63.83$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.83	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0afb…9a96backed Over	50c	59.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+5.2wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Over	23c	58.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	859	49.1%422 W · 437 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcda…c70abacked Under	48c	58.33$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.48	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under	66c	57.82$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.66	2,995	50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L	-36.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e1c…35c6backed Over	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed Under	47c	53.42$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.42	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Over	34c	53.13$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.09	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41d8…7233backed Under	47c	52.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.13	85	60%51 W · 34 L	+7.1wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1575…ac63backed Under	47c	52.36$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Over	56c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	559	53.1%297 W · 262 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under	47c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.5	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329e…2eafbacked Over	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under	65c	45.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.97	1,133	57.2%648 W · 485 L	+35.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49f0…285fbacked Under	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	-9.7wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc057…804abacked Under	71c	42.25$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa230…f8c7backed Under	47c	42.1$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.42	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26a8…8a98backed Under	47c	42.1$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.42	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over	49c	38.7$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.89	393	44.3%174 W · 219 L	-22.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x932d…8529backed Under	64c	32.16$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff66…39cfbacked Over	38c	31.06$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	62c	31$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.78	3,219	51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L	+148.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over	49c	30.37$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.99	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.6wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Over	44c	30$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	709	50.1%355 W · 354 L	+24.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8890…cefbbacked Over	54c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	509	62.9%320 W · 189 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad77…d9c4backed Under	64c	28.13$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.13	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Over	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	309	60.2%186 W · 123 L	+16.8wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5this page
New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsNew York Mets won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 3.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 4.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)New York Mets won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)New York Mets won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)New York Mets won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event