MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf4c2225057fd0b39b18197ba3519709ce5aaf774b579eda9f9e0ac16ad951f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 52c | 12,134$6,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,826.34 | 552 | 53.1%293 W · 259 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 45c | 11,038$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Under | 57c | 9,255$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,005 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 8,929$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,103.06 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.98 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked Over | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 5,971$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.75 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 3,290$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.26 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 48c | 2,884$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.32 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 46c | 2,786$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.42 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 55c | 2,723$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.12 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 59c | 2,520$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.57 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.98 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 44c | 2,275$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.54 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 44c | 2,251$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 53c | 2,223$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.81 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 44c | 2,093$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.97 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 1,879$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.47 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 40c | 1,850$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.62 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.89 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 28c | 1,795$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.52 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 53c | 1,784$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.28 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 50c | 1,555$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.5 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 55c | 1,400$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 47c | 1,391$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.04 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 34c | 1,387$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.85 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 1,304$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.08 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 1,265$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.7 | 999 | 24.6%246 W · 753 L | -70.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.22 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 980$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.6 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 37c | 800.05$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.67 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 51c | 790.4$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 48c | 739.61$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.13 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 72c | 666.65$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.66 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 53c | 653.89$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.33 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 32c | 611$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.49 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 585.75$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.82 | 2,329 | 49.8%1,160 W · 1,169 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 28c | 540.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 53c | 520.51$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.64 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 55c | 515$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.75 | 849 | 49.1%417 W · 432 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 514.22$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.01 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +31.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Under | 49c | 454.6$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.84 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 32c | 422.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 384 | 53.6%206 W · 178 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 53c | 320.98$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 8c | 302.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 799 | 43.2%345 W · 454 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Under | 56c | 277.82$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 24c | 245.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 212$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 53c | 186.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 168.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58f…130dbacked Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 53c | 131.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 129.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1a…283ebacked Under | 62c | 126.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Under | 56c | 124.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 122.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Under | 53c | 105.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 43c | 100.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 44c | 96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 94.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…9b93backed Under | 53c | 89.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…2d71backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked Under | 72c | 69.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Over | 43c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Over | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 53c | 65.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 46c | 64.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…14b1backed Under | 53c | 56.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Over | 36c | 50.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 48.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 75c | 40.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Over | 47c | 36.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…677cbacked Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…3403backed Under | 71c | 34.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe793…c170backed Under | 65c | 33.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…fb8ebacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f4…c415backed Under | 66c | 29.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Under | 53c | 28.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 26.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5this page
- New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsNew York Mets won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 3.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 4.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.