NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea484bf1572de16edc6e3a41f2fbb0fd8719064c2ce17b38ea29d0e4a420223
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 37,427$18,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,404.5 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bulls | 51c | 21,003$10,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,711.72 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Bulls | 50c | 11,410$5,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,739.37 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Bulls | 53c | 9,875$5,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,234 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 8,956$4,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.06 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 8,442$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.05 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls | 52c | 7,051$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,666.02 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0d…4035backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 6,898$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,517.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b68…d467backed Bulls | 51c | 6,588$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bulls | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Bulls | 52c | 5,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.99 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 4,658$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.01 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 4,374$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.74 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 50c | 3,668$1,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.94 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb1…5b8abacked Bulls | 51c | 3,565$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 51c | 3,353$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.62 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 3,168$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.49 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…7a72backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,100$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…8c0cbacked Bulls | 51c | 2,935$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ba…bc2abacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,900$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,441$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bulls | 52c | 2,227$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.39 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Bulls | 50c | 2,106$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.05 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,749$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.48 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Bulls | 53c | 1,500$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls | 52c | 1,061$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.32 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,037$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.25 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Bulls | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Bulls | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bulls | 52c | 962.3$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.52 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bulls | 52c | 959$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.69 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 865$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.15 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 853.44$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.72 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bulls | 50c | 835.73$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.87 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 50c | 722.26$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.77 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bulls | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Bulls | 50c | 593.3$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.86 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…76a3backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 588.22$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed Bulls | 50c | 463.25$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.63 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 461.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.61 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Bulls | 52c | 405.77$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…48f3backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7c…7342backed Bulls | 51c | 397.97$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Bulls | 51c | 369.95$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.67 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 307.63$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.68 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Bulls | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Bulls | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 211.67$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…9935backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 205$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…244bbacked Bulls | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Bulls | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…e945backed Bulls | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…08b3backed Bulls | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 192.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Bulls | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Bulls | 53c | 178.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 161.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.35 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Bulls | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 154.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Bulls | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bulls | 50c | 134.17$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Bulls | 51c | 133.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Bulls | 51c | 117$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 110$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Bulls | 52c | 104.17$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Bulls | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 91.57$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…0be3backed Bulls | 54c | 88.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 84.21$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…85d4backed Bulls | 54c | 76.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 73.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Bulls | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 64.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Bulls | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 64.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f4…83a0backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 59.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 59.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 58.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Bulls | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Bulls | 52c | 57.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 53c | 54.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bulls | 40c | 52.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 51.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a50…09f4backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Toumani Camara: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. BullsTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.