NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4c4d9daedbefbb036ae775ebb6ba70a0931684c015eeccf8f2185de5c5d4ee2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 51c | 5,894$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Over | 3c | 3,239$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Under | 44c | 2,194$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.34 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 2,185$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.82 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 50c | 1,680$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 1,669$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.72 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 1,587$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 73c | 1,394$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.4 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 27c | 1,135$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Under | 51c | 1,125$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.49 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,108$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f06…216ebacked Under | 51c | 893.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb6…8977backed Over | 49c | 889$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.61 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Over | 49c | 876.92$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.67 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 811.17$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.13 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 26c | 779$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.54 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Under | 51c | 699.97$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.98 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 690$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Over | 48c | 624.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Under | 50c | 563.28$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.64 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 502.94$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.44 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…0260backed Over | 49c | 461$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…c5cabacked Under | 51c | 431$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca4…df91backed Under | 51c | 409$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c8…aeb4backed Under | 51c | 397$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…6a99backed Under | 51c | 377$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f8…2232backed Over | 49c | 367$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 356.85$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7026…f5ffbacked Over | 49c | 356$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…3d40backed Over | 49c | 353$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06af…c33ebacked Over | 49c | 351$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 51c | 339.14$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.46 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41d4…7c3abacked Over | 49c | 336$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766d…ec51backed Under | 51c | 315$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 314.37$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.04 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.52 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2254…e6e5backed Under | 79c | 297.47$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 295.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.37 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba71…32b7backed Under | 51c | 295$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 26c | 272.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Under | 52c | 230$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 212.96$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.8 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 52c | 177.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.29 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Under | 51c | 166.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 146.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…d043backed Over | 25c | 141.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 49c | 127.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 25c | 125.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 111$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Under | 45c | 82.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Under | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 60c | 54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Over | 33c | 51.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 49c | 48.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…fa34backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 62c | 42.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 47c | 41.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 274 | 62%170 W · 104 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 51c | 36.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Over | 60c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 51c | 22.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 533 | 49.3%263 W · 270 L | -28.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 73c | 17.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 71c | 14.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Toumani Camara: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. BullsTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.