NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b77d95b7ee39eb20ab138eda92d3f4d16c000e6097b5905ff034fdefb46567c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 14,423$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,923.08 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls | 49c | 8,866$4,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,343.49 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1908…d89bbacked Bulls | 47c | 7,340$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 5,789$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695.54 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e2…a7a5backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bulls | 48c | 3,854$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.92 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Bulls | 47c | 3,125$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.75 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…e02bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 47c | 2,904$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 48c | 2,893$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 47c | 2,535$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.46 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 2,248$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bulls | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,686$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.82 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Bulls | 46c | 1,528$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.01 | 290 | 55.5%161 W · 129 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bulls | 46c | 1,525$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.46 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,467$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.56 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 47c | 1,419$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls | 48c | 1,367$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.71 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bulls | 46c | 1,300$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Bulls | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Bulls | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 942.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bulls | 38c | 904.69$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.37 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Bulls | 46c | 821.51$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.89 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 765.75$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.22 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 702.09$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 625$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Bulls | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 48c | 464.14$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bulls | 17c | 442.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 347.37$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.79 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4018…1eb6backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 340.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bulls | 49c | 338.59$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.63 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 48c | 329.47$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.14 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Bulls | 46c | 262.93$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.95 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Bulls | 47c | 255.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Bulls | 48c | 254.58$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 250.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.06 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Bulls | 46c | 217.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 185.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 59c | 177.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bulls | 47c | 149.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 140.09$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 139.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.28 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Bulls | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 112.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.61 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Bulls | 33c | 111.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…cf90backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bulls | 42c | 109.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7bfabacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 102.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Bulls | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Bulls | 50c | 99.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 98.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Bulls | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…22fbbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bulls | 30c | 87.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 86.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 86.58$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bulls | 30c | 81.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Bulls | 47c | 80.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 76.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Bulls | 50c | 70.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc194…f69fbacked Trail Blazers | 63c | 68.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Bulls | 49c | 67.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Bulls | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdab…edeebacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls | 27c | 48.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 47.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bulls | 46c | 45.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Bulls | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Bulls | 60c | 39.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f6…9259backed Trail Blazers | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d3…98e5backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Bulls | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 27.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d7…7c97backed Bulls | 48c | 27.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…1809backed Bulls | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 25.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee2…e71dbacked Bulls | 48c | 21.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 19.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Toumani Camara: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. BullsTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.