NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62bef001c5ef274da9adb70921b35d16844e3e1fff0209ceab8f71d1899d7aa2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 4,075$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.46 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Under | 50c | 4,005$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.74 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 2,562$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 31c | 1,911$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.23 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 2c | 1,796$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 51c | 950$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.5 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 788.4$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.55 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 663$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 637.16$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.58 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 629.23$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.49 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 512.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…671abacked Over | 24c | 467.36$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 331.22$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.25 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 42c | 210.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 50c | 199.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.56 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 186$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 134.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 54c | 92.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 53c | 88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 60c | 83.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 69.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 57c | 67.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 47c | 65.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 47c | 61.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 72c | 53.68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Over | 52c | 22.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10eb…4dd8backed Over | 51c | 21.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80c5…2c4bbacked Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 68c | 17.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
- Jerami Grant: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Josh Giddey: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Toumani Camara: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. BullsTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: O/U 235.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls: O/U 236.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.