Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Martin Damm
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8351854b4f10f720882a6617bbbdc90a9ea311ec221b1e863820dfae264fd189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Camilo Ugo Carabelliof Camilo Ugo Carabelli, Martin Damm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,119 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7c9…fc36backed Martin Damm | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Martin Damm | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.96 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 37c | 9,448$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,952.23 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 48c | 7,899$3,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,140.97 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 36c | 5,933$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.36 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Martin Damm | 52c | 5,189$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.53 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Martin Damm | 64c | 4,400$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,816 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Martin Damm | 48c | 4,390$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.58 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 42c | 3,984$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.52 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 36c | 3,616$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.21 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 38c | 3,528$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.03 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 57c | 3,339$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.92 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 47c | 3,154$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.42 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Martin Damm | 63c | 3,111$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.03 | 647 | 55.2%357 W · 290 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…6ddfbacked Martin Damm | 54c | 2,952$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Martin Damm | 64c | 2,606$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.71 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Martin Damm | 39c | 2,473$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Martin Damm | 14c | 2,357$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Martin Damm | 6c | 2,247$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.59 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 37c | 2,086$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.18 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 37c | 1,133$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.45 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Martin Damm | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Martin Damm | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 37c | 976.82$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.25 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Martin Damm | 62c | 962$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.44 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Martin Damm | 34c | 938.32$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.5 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Martin Damm | 64c | 937.5$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 65c | 926.82$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.73 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Martin Damm | 61c | 875$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.75 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martin Damm | 60c | 866.67$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 37c | 825$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.75 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 38c | 810.25$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.77 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Martin Damm | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 37c | 707$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.41 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Martin Damm | 31c | 693.03$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Martin Damm | 30c | 677.07$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.12 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Martin Damm | 63c | 675$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.25 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 38c | 641.81$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.92 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Martin Damm | 67c | 590.45$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 36c | 560$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.4 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Martin Damm | 64c | 542.19$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Martin Damm | 61c | 538.03$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…03bbbacked Martin Damm | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 82 | 62.2%51 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 34c | 515$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.9 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…24fabacked Martin Damm | 65c | 507.91$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Martin Damm | 65c | 507.28$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.73 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Martin Damm | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.35 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Martin Damm | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Martin Damm | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 63c | 472.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.97 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Martin Damm | 64c | 461.32$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.97 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 33c | 413$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.71 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 36c | 405.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.44 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 72c | 346$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 37c | 329.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.73 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Martin Damm | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 40c | 312.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Martin Damm | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Martin Damm | 22c | 308.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Martin Damm | 61c | 308.36$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.1 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 37c | 289.7$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.51 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 35c | 269.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.33 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 61c | 264.15$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Martin Damm | 62c | 263.15$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.15 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Martin Damm | 31c | 260.51$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Martin Damm | 62c | 257.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.65 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Martin Damm | 64c | 252$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.63 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Martin Damm | 52c | 251.52$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.79 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Martin Damm | 51c | 247.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Martin Damm | 15c | 231.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 38c | 216$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.28 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Martin Damm | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 37c | 199$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.37 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Martin Damm | 24c | 182.6$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 39c | 179$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…4392backed Martin Damm | 64c | 175.78$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 38c | 172$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Martin Damm | 62c | 161.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Martin Damm | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Martin Damm | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 36c | 152$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 38c | 151$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Martin Damm | 69c | 144.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 38c | 143$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 38c | 140.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Martin Damm | 60c | 140.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 40c | 132$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked Martin Damm | 62c | 128.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Martin Damm | 64c | 126.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 370 | 71.9%266 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 37c | 110$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Martin Damm | 33c | 109.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Camilo Ugo Carabelli | 40c | 109$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.75 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Martin Damm | 63c | 104$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Martin Damm | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Martin Dammthis page
- Carabelli vs. Damm: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Carabelli vs. Damm: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Carabelli vs. Damm: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Carabelli vs. Damm: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Carabelli vs DammCarabelli won
- Set Handicap: Damm (-1.5) vs Carabelli (+1.5)Carabelli won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.