TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Talia Gibson vs Ann Li

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Talia Gibsonof Talia Gibson, Ann Li
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,395

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,395 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Ann Li26c25,016$6,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,509.141,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Talia Gibson73c24,433$17,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,678.317,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Talia Gibson66c16,941$11,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,837.386,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Talia Gibson70c12,681$8,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,829.111,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Talia Gibson75c7,688$5,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.532,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ann Li27c7,509$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.998,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ann Li23c6,126$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Ann Li29c6,050$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.262,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b3…be68backed Ann Li56c4,484$2,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,516.854040%16 W · 24 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ann Li23c4,189$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.5365647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Ann Li26c3,474$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89830241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ann Li17c2,250$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3886,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Talia Gibson59c2,167$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.5620847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Ann Li33c2,002$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.671,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ann Li38c1,910$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.32,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Ann Li40c1,315$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.1348552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Ann Li33c1,212$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Talia Gibson40c1,210$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.241,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Ann Li27c1,090$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.482,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Ann Li24c936.49$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.545147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Ann Li30c866.67$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606934.8%24 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Ann Li30c840$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25062534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Ann Li22c822.68$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.872,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb74…1a99backed Ann Li50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009630.2%29 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc22…5738backed Ann Li33c762.76$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-75.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Talia Gibson40c755.48$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.0322337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Talia Gibson47c744.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.6825544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Talia Gibson70c538.38$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3481349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Ann Li32c517.19$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.551933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Ann Li39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ann Li35c500.14$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.933,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Ann Li54c435.91$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.391,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed Ann Li57c381.06$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.240744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Talia Gibson70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1484963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Ann Li60c341.93$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7496755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Ann Li29c340.69$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9828833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Ann Li43c340$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.599044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ann Li51c321$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.14,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Ann Li27c314.33$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.481,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Talia Gibson40c279$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.41,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Ann Li29c276.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8041544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Talia Gibson68c273.8$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.537,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Talia Gibson67c261.83$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.311,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Ann Li60c248.69$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Ann Li33c220$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7292548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Ann Li60c217$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.29643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Ann Li38c211.95$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.549530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Ann Li65c211.38$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.952,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Talia Gibson53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6857349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Ann Li56c177.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Talia Gibson44c173.58$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.981,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x974a…98c3backed Talia Gibson30c155$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.52860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Ann Li29c146$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4217930.7%55 W · 124 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ann Li48c141.86$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.093,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Talia Gibson39c135.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.6646932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Talia Gibson52c134.84$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.652,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Ann Li40c132$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Talia Gibson70c126.72$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6643062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201d…2e13backed Ann Li23c123.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.312250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Ann Li56c122.18$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.934,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ec…6b04backed Ann Li33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50aa…0003backed Ann Li51c113.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.88353%44 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Ann Li53c103$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1285748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Talia Gibson49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.761,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Ann Li60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6077967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Ann Li54c99.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.692,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Talia Gibson57c98.09$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.044,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Ann Li51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031039.4%122 W · 188 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Ann Li53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032649.1%160 W · 166 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Ann Li58c87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.37,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked Ann Li44c82.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6211243.8%49 W · 63 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Ann Li61c82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0260055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37bb…89d0backed Ann Li29c80.76$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.72616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-78.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Talia Gibson39c76.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7227344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Talia Gibson38c73.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.453,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ann Li68c73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.864,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Talia Gibson69c68.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1353752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Talia Gibson43c67.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.31,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Ann Li40c64.55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.821,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Ann Li56c63.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8528247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1efc…1a6bbacked Ann Li32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205633.9%19 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Talia Gibson65c53.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9914541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Ann Li53c53.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1815343.8%67 W · 86 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Ann Li41c52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3220554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Ann Li40c52$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.819634.2%67 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Ann Li53c51.11$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0934159.5%203 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Talia Gibson67c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.635559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Ann Li53c49.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.589364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Ann Li32c46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5270729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Ann Li24c45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.98231.7%26 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Talia Gibson75c41.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6370148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e3…40a0backed Talia Gibson70c40.24$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9311759.8%70 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d5…dd7bbacked Ann Li33c39.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.893661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Ann Li40c38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.277047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Talia Gibson41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5995742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Ann Li59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Ann Li61c33.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6451849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…3807backed Ann Li60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Ann Li61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Talia Gibson53c29.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9857252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.