Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x876c38e3c3ac0f5d72a7d55f7b2b7823c79d9dbd63335ab9179a6c7109cee352

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Natus Vincereof Tundra Esports, Natus Vincere
Resolved: Mar 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $261,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,864 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere	31c	25,462$7,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,533.71	287	48.8%140 W · 147 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Natus Vincere	32c	25,262$8,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,101.4	545	56.5%308 W · 237 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Tundra Esports	67c	13,708$9,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,234.04	184	52.2%96 W · 88 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere	38c	11,128$4,229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,899.19	328	54.9%180 W · 148 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Tundra Esports	69c	11,069$7,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,634	228	42.1%96 W · 132 L	-25.3wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcc81…5df2backed Tundra Esports	60c	10,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	95	57.9%55 W · 40 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere	39c	9,238$3,632 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,605.6	965	57.4%554 W · 411 L	+49.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports	61c	9,029$5,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,503.11	551	57%314 W · 237 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports	36c	7,840$2,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,828.12	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports	62c	7,788$4,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,828.74	201	59.7%120 W · 81 L	+9.9wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Natus Vincere	44c	7,255$3,183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,072.4	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Tundra Esports	62c	6,666$4,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,132.9	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	-8.2wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Tundra Esports	43c	6,136$2,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,658.2	159	46.5%74 W · 85 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Natus Vincere	32c	5,514$1,765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,749.6	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-7.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2564…d109backed Tundra Esports	69c	5,312$3,665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,665.07	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-3.4wins	-0.34per pick	54cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Tundra Esports	66c	5,200$3,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,455.96	345	44.3%153 W · 192 L	-15.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere	40c	5,020$2,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,997.93	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Natus Vincere	21c	4,638$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,643.45	237	46.8%111 W · 126 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere	31c	4,000$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,759.94	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Tundra Esports	68c	3,768$2,556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,555.65	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-3.9wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports	66c	3,673$2,428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,427.64	229	54.1%124 W · 105 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports	27c	3,519$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.29	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Tundra Esports	69c	3,484$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	236	53%125 W · 111 L	+12.7wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Natus Vincere	70c	3,429$2,416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,013.13	534	51.7%276 W · 258 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Natus Vincere	33c	3,410$1,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,284.7	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	+4.2wins	+0.10per pick	34cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Natus Vincere	33c	3,333$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,233.11	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere	33c	3,000$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,025	647	44.4%287 W · 360 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x533e…47f4backed Tundra Esports	68c	2,941$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	113	59.3%67 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere	33c	2,500$821 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,678.97	810	29.4%238 W · 572 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Natus Vincere	32c	2,277$739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,537.12	605	42.6%258 W · 347 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6998…ae95backed Tundra Esports	3c	2,043$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.24	168	21.4%36 W · 132 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports	46c	1,902$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.2	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Natus Vincere	33c	1,884$615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,269.7	72	31.9%23 W · 49 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Tundra Esports	68c	1,746$1,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,184.27	150	64.7%97 W · 53 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Tundra Esports	66c	1,671$1,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,106	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6450…9547backed Tundra Esports	46c	1,659$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	101	41.6%42 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Tundra Esports	67c	1,650$1,098 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,098	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Natus Vincere	71c	1,555$1,102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.5	186	61.8%115 W · 71 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Tundra Esports	54c	1,539$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.95	386	53.9%208 W · 178 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Natus Vincere	36c	1,498$532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965.27	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked Tundra Esports	68c	1,471$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.01	59	64.4%38 W · 21 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Tundra Esports	69c	1,450$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	203	67%136 W · 67 L	+14.8wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Natus Vincere	37c	1,432$535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$896.61	587	44%258 W · 329 L	+13.3wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed Natus Vincere	39c	1,421$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$862.78	230	50.9%117 W · 113 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports	64c	1,415$908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$908.32	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x57ba…d369backed Natus Vincere	71c	1,400$994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406	146	48.6%71 W · 75 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-14%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed10…5e7abacked Tundra Esports	69c	1,366$942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.49	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.2wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Tundra Esports	69c	1,357$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.41	191	62.8%120 W · 71 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Natus Vincere	36c	1,316$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$836.13	399	36.8%147 W · 252 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Tundra Esports	63c	1,272$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.6	195	52.8%103 W · 92 L	-15.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-15%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Tundra Esports	68c	1,270$868 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867.94	229	45.9%105 W · 124 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Tundra Esports	69c	1,159$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	66	50%33 W · 33 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Natus Vincere	38c	1,100$418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682	91	45.1%41 W · 50 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Tundra Esports	2c	1,070$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	630	32.5%205 W · 425 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed Natus Vincere	74c	1,015$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.38	554	57.8%320 W · 234 L	+12.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports	15c	1,010$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.6	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Natus Vincere	29c	1,000$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$710	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed Tundra Esports	66c	1,000$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3fb…19c0backed Tundra Esports	45c	915.59$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.98	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5554…98f9backed Tundra Esports	69c	869.57$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	60	66.7%40 W · 20 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc5…d1a4backed Natus Vincere	39c	866.74$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.74	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere	42c	849.78$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$490.56	606	46.9%284 W · 322 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Natus Vincere	41c	810.05$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.92	666	62.2%414 W · 252 L	+60.2wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere	32c	769.99$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.31	1,120	36.1%404 W · 716 L	-39.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Natus Vincere	34c	745.52$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.52	208	27.9%58 W · 150 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0856…2d20backed Tundra Esports	71c	706.9$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f5a…aca1backed Tundra Esports	67c	676.69$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.7	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	60cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports	65c	672.05$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.47	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere	38c	670.03$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.63	485	39.2%190 W · 295 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Natus Vincere	63c	660.54$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.4	412	42.2%174 W · 238 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02e4…f0aebacked Tundra Esports	64c	654.48$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.05	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed Natus Vincere	61c	622.46$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.28	134	55.2%74 W · 60 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Tundra Esports	69c	609.29$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Natus Vincere	30c	595.35$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.52	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ba…c976backed Natus Vincere	34c	572.17$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.17	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tundra Esports	38c	564.19$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.39	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tundra Esports	69c	535$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.79	713	42.5%303 W · 410 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb57…6a21backed Tundra Esports	70c	501.4$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Natus Vincere	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	129	48.1%62 W · 67 L	-9.3wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Tundra Esports	67c	500$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	151	47.7%72 W · 79 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Natus Vincere	41c	500$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295	78	35.9%28 W · 50 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked Natus Vincere	40c	500$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.26	146	57.5%84 W · 62 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Natus Vincere	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	460	49.8%229 W · 231 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Tundra Esports	13c	491.08$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	82	13.4%11 W · 71 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d33…7287backed Tundra Esports	70c	428.58$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Tundra Esports	63c	425$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.25	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Natus Vincere	24c	422$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.85	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tundra Esports	42c	420.06$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.18	899	38%342 W · 557 L	-45.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed Natus Vincere	73c	418.76$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.38	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	69cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Natus Vincere	15c	392.8$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.88	641	23.4%150 W · 491 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Natus Vincere	57c	390.8$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.18	915	53.3%488 W · 427 L	+48.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…951cbacked Natus Vincere	74c	389.8$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.29	49	73.5%36 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	70cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Natus Vincere	65c	385.97$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.17	363	43.3%157 W · 206 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere	31c	384.1$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.03	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tundra Esports	22c	377.43$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.24	137	33.6%46 W · 91 L	-8.1wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Tundra Esports	51c	352.95$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	864	51.7%447 W · 417 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Natus Vincere	43c	351.63$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.63	626	50.5%316 W · 310 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Natus Vincere	38c	346.98$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.44	450	46.7%210 W · 240 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x899e…0863backed Natus Vincere	68c	338.88$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.62	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere	37c	338.66$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.88	1,577	43.9%692 W · 885 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?No won
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?Yes won
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?Yes won
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?Yes won
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event