Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13220da5d91142333f1e912a117cd7e54f083c130e144aaab9972566bec11920
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Tundra Esports, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,860 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 15,403$8,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,422.9 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 13,542$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,292.28 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 9,541$3,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,722.24 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 7,654$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,654.36 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 7,633$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,833.46 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 7,449$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 4,591$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.49 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12a…f637backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 4,499$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.23 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 4,241$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.08 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Tundra Esports | 40c | 3,662$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.35 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 2,871$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.31 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,202$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.09 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 2,078$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.39 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,773$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.58 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,722$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.08 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,672$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.79 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 1,508$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 1,377$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.52 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6450…9547backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,187$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.11 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Tundra Esports | 1c | 1,184$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,174$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.7 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,141$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.28 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,110$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.4 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,088$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.11 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 1,029$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.53 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 875.16$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.52 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 868$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.2 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 843.81$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.94 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 796.72$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.4 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 741.19$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.19 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 705.99$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.73 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 685.18$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.35 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 614.59$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.59 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 603.63$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.28 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 599.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked Tundra Esports | 37c | 590$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.85 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 555.97$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.97 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 551.52$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.49 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 506.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.08 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 470$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 469.09$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.22 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 464.62$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 444.85$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.05 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 434.97$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.99 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 404.27$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.32 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 400$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.95 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 382.56$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.84 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 339.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.37 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 318.96$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.86 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 304.53$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.17 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.8 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 295.41$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.78 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f0…fff4backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 272.96$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.55 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 270.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 264.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 248.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 236.01$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Tundra Esports | 22c | 219.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 218.61$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 208.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.21 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 196$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 176.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Natus Vincere | 50c | 167.8$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 162.44$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…ae46backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 152.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…f0aebacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 150$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 144.4$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…c74fbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 140$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 136.4$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.84 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 135.55$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.41 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 133.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…72bfbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 126.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Tundra Esports | 12c | 120.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…48a9backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…c0a9backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Tundra Esports | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 95.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bc…a4c6backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 93.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 89.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tundra Esports | 29c | 84.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcb…b106backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 77.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf10…ab22backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?No won
- Game 1: Ends in Daytime?Yes won
- Game 2: Ends in Daytime?Yes won
- Game 3: Ends in Daytime?Yes won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.