Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcedb6c5173088125d8b30f32b027944722f6c13a06ee2384940e692cb756b76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $376,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,146 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 461 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Aurora | 42c | 15,918$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,217.54 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 15,318$8,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,703.08 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Tundra Esports | 38c | 12,500$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.99 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Aurora | 43c | 11,982$5,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,830.34 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Aurora | 48c | 11,768$5,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,118.56 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 10,523$5,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,192.6 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x506b…3f70backed Aurora | 48c | 10,510$5,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,433.2 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 8,134$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845.44 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…a907backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 7,959$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 37c | 6,045$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,808.6 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed Tundra Esports | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora | 60c | 5,305$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.88 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 4,937$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.93 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Aurora | 42c | 4,198$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.84 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 39c | 4,144$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.93 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Aurora | 39c | 4,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Aurora | 49c | 3,980$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.17 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Aurora | 49c | 3,451$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.86 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 19c | 3,295$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.54 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…2230backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 3,168$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Tundra Esports | 31c | 3,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Aurora | 41c | 2,999$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.36 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 40c | 2,977$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.39 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 2,914$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.86 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Aurora | 41c | 2,850$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.6 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Tundra Esports | 6c | 2,800$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 62c | 2,627$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.3 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 2,556$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.59 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Tundra Esports | 14c | 2,503$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.35 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 2,366$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.19 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 2,206$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Aurora | 54c | 2,060$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Aurora | 71c | 1,988$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.11 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,943$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…92aabacked Aurora | 36c | 1,766$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.01 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,726$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,708$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.56 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora | 40c | 1,650$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.97 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,619$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 60c | 1,597$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.75 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Tundra Esports | 32c | 1,572$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.11 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5820…474ebacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,534$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Tundra Esports | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Aurora | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,500$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.22 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora | 46c | 1,409$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.42 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Tundra Esports | 18c | 1,388$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Aurora | 45c | 1,366$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.39 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Tundra Esports | 40c | 1,348$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 1,303$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Tundra Esports | 17c | 1,294$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…267ebacked Tundra Esports | 24c | 1,282$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.7 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Aurora | 67c | 1,276$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Tundra Esports | 48c | 1,248$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,181$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41d3…557ebacked Aurora | 38c | 1,165$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Tundra Esports | 46c | 1,089$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Aurora | 44c | 1,068$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.12 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Aurora | 38c | 1,060$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.63 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab4…52e8backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,052$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,043$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.59 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tundra Esports | 11c | 972$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Aurora | 53c | 949$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 914.35$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.8 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Tundra Esports | 56c | 898.85$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.35 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Tundra Esports | 11c | 886.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Aurora | 57c | 884.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.81 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 883.04$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.38 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 866.02$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 836.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 817.13$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.94 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 809.57$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.84 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 44c | 802.88$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.78 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…95d1backed Aurora | 42c | 790.19$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 768.95$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.92 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…0caebacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 702.84$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Aurora | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Tundra Esports | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Aurora | 43c | 698.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.76 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 698.53$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.43 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 688.54$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.08 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…7287backed Aurora | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Tundra Esports | 43c | 663.99$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.52 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 600$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.36 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Aurora | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…cea9backed Tundra Esports | 33c | 590$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 586.44$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Aurora | 79c | 580.09$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.46 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora | 67c | 570$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.23 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Aurora | 52c | 551.02$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.97 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Aurora | 47c | 540.61$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.53 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3d…d43cbacked Tundra Esports | 35c | 516$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Aurora | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 490.49$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.21 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.