Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x927fb6005d8dea6f77174f5d79e52834ae03969bb98412b4569d2ef749dd71ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, paiN Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,754 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1776…e557backed paiN Gaming | 37c | 6,958$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked paiN Gaming | 17c | 6,352$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.12 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Spirit | 75c | 5,721$4,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.37 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 4,829$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.33 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…afadbacked paiN Gaming | 21c | 4,576$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.3 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Spirit | 69c | 3,267$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.52 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 2,213$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.36 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed paiN Gaming | 10c | 1,249$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 1,172$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.49 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked paiN Gaming | 38c | 1,112$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.89 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…44a3backed paiN Gaming | 37c | 900$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed paiN Gaming | 13c | 785.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 63c | 784.81$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.62 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed paiN Gaming | 26c | 776.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 508.81$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.85 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed paiN Gaming | 39c | 507.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed paiN Gaming | 20c | 504.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked paiN Gaming | 30c | 485$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 78c | 468.92$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked paiN Gaming | 36c | 369.52$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.23 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed paiN Gaming | 27c | 366.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit | 64c | 345.6$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed paiN Gaming | 24c | 331.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 330$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked paiN Gaming | 38c | 321$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 314.34$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 309.36$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked paiN Gaming | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 282.95$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked paiN Gaming | 37c | 279.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed paiN Gaming | 37c | 268$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Spirit | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed paiN Gaming | 40c | 250.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit | 72c | 230$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 228.35$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked paiN Gaming | 21c | 219.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked paiN Gaming | 11c | 208.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed paiN Gaming | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 172.86$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8979…9428backed Team Spirit | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked Team Spirit | 64c | 153.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +7.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed paiN Gaming | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…c3cbbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 146.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed paiN Gaming | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe791…cbc0backed paiN Gaming | 34c | 145.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa43a…5cf4backed Team Spirit | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed paiN Gaming | 37c | 131.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 124$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked paiN Gaming | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 116.56$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed paiN Gaming | 38c | 106.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked paiN Gaming | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed paiN Gaming | 36c | 101.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Team Spirit | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked paiN Gaming | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed paiN Gaming | 30c | 99.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed paiN Gaming | 27c | 93.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…4442backed Team Spirit | 63c | 84.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked paiN Gaming | 37c | 82.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 268 | 59%158 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Spirit | 72c | 79.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed paiN Gaming | 19c | 71.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked Team Spirit | 66c | 70.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Team Spirit | 73c | 69.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed paiN Gaming | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa157…8641backed paiN Gaming | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5524…2f3cbacked paiN Gaming | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN Gaming | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Team Spirit | 55c | 29.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcadb…a190backed Team Spirit | 80c | 25.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 25.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Team Spirit | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Spirit | 77c | 24.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Spirit | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 23.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…ad9cbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 405 | 39.3%159 W · 246 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Team Spirit | 60c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…2723backed Team Spirit | 63c | 17.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Team Spirit | 71c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…def8backed Team Spirit | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs paiN Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.