Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs paiN Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc3c59aaf78d0f83f7aad7c16fd65fc98934b3549406865f6bd4c801111c6afa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, paiN Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,126 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 6,666$5,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed paiN Gaming | 1c | 4,531$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed paiN Gaming | 20c | 4,090$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed paiN Gaming | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed paiN Gaming | 20c | 2,585$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…563fbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 2,253$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked paiN Gaming | 21c | 1,788$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.48 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 1,456$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.03 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed paiN Gaming | 19c | 1,409$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.31 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 1,250$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.49 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Spirit | 80c | 1,066$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.28 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Team Spirit | 79c | 731.1$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Team Spirit | 79c | 677.22$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…f092backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 673.79$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…3a96backed Team Spirit | 79c | 657.96$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Team Spirit | 80c | 626.25$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed paiN Gaming | 23c | 574$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.06 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked paiN Gaming | 12c | 520$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Team Spirit | 80c | 382.97$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…d1e5backed Team Spirit | 80c | 376.41$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed paiN Gaming | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked paiN Gaming | 22c | 282.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked paiN Gaming | 20c | 258.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Spirit | 79c | 254.85$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed paiN Gaming | 16c | 242.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Spirit | 79c | 222$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Spirit | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Team Spirit | 79c | 171$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed paiN Gaming | 31c | 159.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed paiN Gaming | 20c | 138.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 128$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Team Spirit | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Spirit | 80c | 126$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa91…4325backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 115$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…3518backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 113$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3d…f943backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 111$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 76c | 104.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team Spirit | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…7882backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…1299backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…abd8backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d2…0894backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…600fbacked paiN Gaming | 21c | 88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c05…b077backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Spirit | 79c | 87.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked paiN Gaming | 26c | 85.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed paiN Gaming | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed paiN Gaming | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed paiN Gaming | 19c | 79.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked paiN Gaming | 18c | 78.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb30…2169backed paiN Gaming | 21c | 70.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked paiN Gaming | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…c60fbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 66.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked paiN Gaming | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…2c29backed paiN Gaming | 19c | 57.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed paiN Gaming | 24c | 51.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -9.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x418e…3be4backed Team Spirit | 79c | 51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Team Spirit | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8b…cd37backed Team Spirit | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…1fb9backed Team Spirit | 79c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fae…e643backed Team Spirit | 79c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd734…04dabacked Team Spirit | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…a06abacked Team Spirit | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9309backed Team Spirit | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9302…85ddbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de5…724bbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…7b24backed Team Spirit | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…801fbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…7b99backed Team Spirit | 80c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…af50backed Team Spirit | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982b…85a5backed Team Spirit | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…4bffbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222d…52a2backed Team Spirit | 80c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…d6eabacked Team Spirit | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…0034backed Team Spirit | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Team Spirit | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…f5f5backed Team Spirit | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fe…196dbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed Team Spirit | 80c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…cdd7backed Team Spirit | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadb…a190backed Team Spirit | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c01…1057backed Team Spirit | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…1fbfbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c3…161cbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs paiN Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.