CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Imperial (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d8a3f539806bb68a017d1395f20712f3d64b187d258f588af30af3d75ecef70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $532,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Imperial | 18c | 176,835$31,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,768.97 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Imperial | 10c | 34,681$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,346.34 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Imperial | 18c | 16,397$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.04 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Imperial | 18c | 10,810$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.8 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Imperial | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Imperial | 19c | 8,591$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.18 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Imperial | 19c | 4,900$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.96 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…3d48backed Imperial | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Imperial | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c1…e1c8backed Imperial | 19c | 2,199$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.82 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial | 18c | 2,091$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.37 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Imperial | 10c | 1,997$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Imperial | 12c | 1,851$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.59 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Imperial | 10c | 1,800$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1,277 | 21.9%280 W · 997 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Imperial | 3c | 1,675$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Imperial | 12c | 1,502$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.71 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Imperial | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Imperial | 12c | 1,134$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.32 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Imperial | 19c | 1,063$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 522 | 36.8%192 W · 330 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Imperial | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Imperial | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Imperial | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Imperial | 2c | 916.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…591bbacked Imperial | 19c | 904.63$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.88 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…1325backed Imperial | 22c | 820.18$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Imperial | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…271ebacked Imperial | 2c | 749$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…35bbbacked Imperial | 2c | 655.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Imperial | 19c | 631.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…42cebacked Imperial | 18c | 558$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Imperial | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Imperial | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…e650backed Imperial | 3c | 444.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcc…25e1backed FURIA | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Imperial | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…8becbacked Imperial | 13c | 392.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5019…74cdbacked Imperial | 15c | 367.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Imperial | 19c | 358.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…3e48backed Imperial | 6c | 332.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Imperial | 13c | 300.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…0268backed Imperial | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Imperial | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…fb05backed Imperial | 13c | 297.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Imperial | 15c | 235.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 1,080 | 50.9%550 W · 530 L | +38.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2b99backed Imperial | 15c | 220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Imperial | 12c | 213.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Imperial | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 611 | 38.1%233 W · 378 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Imperial | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Imperial | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Imperial | 19c | 180$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Imperial | 14c | 169.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Imperial | 19c | 153$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked Imperial | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…cf43backed Imperial | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e90…af65backed Imperial | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…54bdbacked Imperial | 19c | 126.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 253 | 50.2%127 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Imperial | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Imperial | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Imperial | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…b07dbacked Imperial | 19c | 97.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…ebf6backed Imperial | 20c | 93.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4b…1ad8backed Imperial | 18c | 75.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…997bbacked Imperial | 19c | 73.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f3…7198backed Imperial | 15c | 70.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Imperial | 18c | 60.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…4532backed Imperial | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…9bd1backed Imperial | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.