CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs ODDIK (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46589283ed3ea05f0954a45ec792e7ca670de78d765e56cc3f33febdf56a911f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ODDIKof RED Canids, ODDIK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ODDIK | 51c | 2,599$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.91 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed RED Canids | 57c | 1,758$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.28 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ODDIK | 59c | 846.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.03 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked RED Canids | 49c | 680.04$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed RED Canids | 69c | 679.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…591bbacked ODDIK | 46c | 648.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.12 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ODDIK | 42c | 544.83$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.15 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed RED Canids | 43c | 370.15$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.11 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked RED Canids | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed RED Canids | 52c | 227.22$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…671fbacked RED Canids | 43c | 191.73$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed RED Canids | 55c | 172.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed RED Canids | 59c | 153.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc3…5eb5backed RED Canids | 10c | 149.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…45b9backed ODDIK | 21c | 146.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked RED Canids | 66c | 136.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…211bbacked RED Canids | 41c | 112.54$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked ODDIK | 66c | 80.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ODDIK | 42c | 79.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed ODDIK | 48c | 69.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed ODDIK | 57c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked RED Canids | 50c | 50.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed RED Canids | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed ODDIK | 46c | 47.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked ODDIK | 24c | 47.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed RED Canids | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed ODDIK | 45c | 43.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…a300backed RED Canids | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…41eebacked ODDIK | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked ODDIK | 68c | 29.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b6…ceccbacked RED Canids | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed ODDIK | 60c | 26.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e8c3backed RED Canids | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82fe…c30abacked RED Canids | 79c | 25.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed RED Canids | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed ODDIK | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…10c9backed RED Canids | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked RED Canids | 78c | 18.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 378 | 59.5%225 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs ODDIK (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs ODDIK - Map 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs ODDIK - Map 2 WinnerODDIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.