TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Clara Tauson vs Jessica Pegula

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pegulaof Tauson, Pegula
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$513,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$562,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,154 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2727…eef4backed Tauson19c128,080$24,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,122.8719134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pegula79c43,516$34,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,314.22,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Pegula72c31,222$22,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,742.153574.3%26 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Tauson27c21,638$5,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,842.181,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pegula72c11,904$8,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,339.762,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Tauson28c11,520$3,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,225.5910443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pegula78c10,657$8,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.816,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7478…b748backed Pegula73c10,099$7,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,726.85785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+47.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Tauson14c9,314$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.81525.8%3 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Tauson30c6,812$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0164645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tauson23c6,000$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.792,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Pegula72c5,937$4,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.4333241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tauson15c5,791$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.8811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Pegula58c5,740$3,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.255646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Tauson53c5,679$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005860.3%35 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pegula72c4,137$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.967,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Tauson30c3,992$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.5828444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Tauson27c3,678$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010440.4%42 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Pegula71c3,666$2,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.057152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Tauson25c3,611$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.8476140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Pegula75c3,567$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.581,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Tauson25c3,399$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Pegula58c3,156$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.6121147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Tauson27c2,759$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.9348552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ca…d535backed Pegula75c2,667$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.944673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Pegula75c2,667$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6744163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Tauson44c2,529$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.1727460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Pegula71c2,456$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.6445457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Tauson24c2,396$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.7111123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Pegula73c2,238$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.241,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Pegula72c2,127$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Pegula78c2,106$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.5624060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Pegula73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405149%25 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Pegula72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5609452.1%49 W · 45 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Pegula73c1,970$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.8815952.2%83 W · 76 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Pegula73c1,940$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.7911560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Tauson28c1,850$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.91,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Tauson46c1,739$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Tauson26c1,705$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.361,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Pegula76c1,696$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.811668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Tauson11c1,677$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1849530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Tauson22c1,488$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5427836.3%101 W · 177 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x795f…fbdabacked Tauson27c1,483$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.311417.5%20 W · 94 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84e6…118cbacked Pegula72c1,469$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.41683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Pegula53c1,396$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.231,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Pegula58c1,379$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.318450%42 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Tauson33c1,312$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4324742.6%20 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Tauson28c1,250$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35022641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Tauson47c1,249$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.8424340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Pegula74c1,191$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.412,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Tauson36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Tauson28c1,080$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30057249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Pegula75c1,069$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.3414568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Tauson43c1,028$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.6175748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa8…591bbacked Tauson30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Tauson25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73ca…ff89backed Pegula72c923.22$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.821384.6%11 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick73cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Tauson35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Tauson37c844.49$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.4544448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Tauson27c820$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.421338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Pegula73c800$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.561,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Tauson32c789.94$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.491618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Tauson26c749.99$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Tauson20c738.96$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc9f…3314backed Tauson26c738.88$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.115438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Pegula58c725.22$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.537854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Tauson28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Tauson29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Pegula74c657.49$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.951,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Tauson24c633.11$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.142,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pegula52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28881938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06b0…afd6backed Pegula72c591.13$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.521872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Tauson21c583.33$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207236.1%26 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Tauson31c582.26$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1789040%36 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Pegula80c562.5$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.510547.6%50 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Pegula76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3265558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0965…da73backed Pegula73c516.6$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Tauson28c513.06$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Tauson15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512722%28 W · 99 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+55.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Pegula50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2508951.7%46 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Pegula51c484.46$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.4610640.6%43 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Tauson27c474.07$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12837339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d3…6c86backed Pegula74c448.5$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.61875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tauson37c446.76$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.074,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Pegula73c440.21$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8621959.4%130 W · 89 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Tauson27c418.52$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Pegula73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9611530.4%35 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Pegula75c401.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1617955.9%100 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Tauson25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Tauson29c382.76$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1116732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Pegula64c375.35$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5684736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Tauson27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tauson25c369.23$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.181,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Pegula55c364.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3138348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pegula71c348.38$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.031,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed Tauson30c336.36$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10117650.6%89 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Pegula52c319.31$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1117462.6%109 W · 65 L+34.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Pegula79c313.39$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3969350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Tauson30c309.36$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.64,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Pegula74c300$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7720039%78 W · 122 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.