Tennis · resolved market
Delray Beach Open: Adam Walton vs Tommy Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18caba9a9a9756e8f72e2e69fb1ea7c7af43efe91c95f25227013d4141531018
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulof Walton, Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Walton | 19c | 8,169$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.35 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paul | 77c | 5,189$3,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.47 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Walton | 19c | 4,276$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.81 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Walton | 20c | 3,769$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.14 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Walton | 25c | 2,829$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.78 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Walton | 22c | 2,593$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.79 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Paul | 80c | 2,339$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.54 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Walton | 11c | 2,095$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.45 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Walton | 20c | 1,819$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.67 | 305 | 44.9%137 W · 168 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Paul | 80c | 1,646$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.23 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Walton | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Paul | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Walton | 17c | 1,446$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.55 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Walton | 15c | 1,433$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce4…62fcbacked Paul | 75c | 1,340$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Paul | 78c | 1,290$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.8 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Walton | 11c | 1,143$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 251 | 34.3%86 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…591bbacked Walton | 30c | 1,117$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Paul | 71c | 1,077$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.46 | 1,093 | 50.4%551 W · 542 L | -18.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d3…0d2abacked Walton | 24c | 888.94$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Walton | 10c | 772.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.29 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Walton | 19c | 719.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Paul | 75c | 633.47$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.04 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Walton | 23c | 616$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Paul | 75c | 589.85$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.46 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…75cbbacked Walton | 14c | 556.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 114 | 26.3%30 W · 84 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…c40dbacked Paul | 79c | 540.03$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Paul | 72c | 530.98$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.89 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Walton | 17c | 519.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Walton | 11c | 517$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Paul | 79c | 508.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.86 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Walton | 11c | 454.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Paul | 72c | 433.75$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.75 | 155 | 32.9%51 W · 104 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Walton | 12c | 380.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Paul | 76c | 376.58$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.01 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Paul | 69c | 264.06$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Walton | 19c | 221$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Walton | 11c | 210$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Walton | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Walton | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…f111backed Walton | 14c | 161.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…3ed4backed Walton | 25c | 145.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Walton | 20c | 145$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Paul | 73c | 137.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Walton | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca4…e4e7backed Walton | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Paul | 77c | 106.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Walton | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Walton | 19c | 84.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Paul | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Walton | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Paul | 74c | 70.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f31…22d5backed Paul | 75c | 65.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd075…3d1fbacked Paul | 80c | 61.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc976…e0f0backed Walton | 28c | 60.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Paul | 79c | 53.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Paul | 72c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 263 | 49%129 W · 134 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Paul | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Paul | 72c | 21.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Paul | 76c | 21.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce44…ef40backed Paul | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Paul | 71c | 18.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked Paul | 80c | 15.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.14 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Delray Beach Open: Adam Walton vs Tommy Paulthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Walton vs PaulPaul won
- Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Walton (+1.5)Paul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.