TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,369

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,369 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bdd…23dcbacked Over56c21,080$11,772 inWon+$9,307.4817163.2%108 W · 63 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under44c8,582$3,782 inLost-$3,781.525954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Under45c6,607$2,977 inLost-$2,977.1918829.8%56 W · 132 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…4925backed Under44c3,409$1,500 inLost-$1,5001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under44c3,011$1,325 inLost-$1,3253336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71c0…13b5backed Over54c2,000$1,080 inWon+$92021954.3%119 W · 100 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Under44c1,505$662 inLost-$66220249%99 W · 103 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over56c1,501$839 inWon+$661.691,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over46c999.99$460 inWon+$5403,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Under54c998.14$539 inLost-$53914835.1%52 W · 96 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Under44c721.77$317 inLost-$31724041.3%99 W · 141 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Over51c637.38$325 inWon+$312.322,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Under44c573.5$252 inLost-$252250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Under49c360$176 inLost-$176.41,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd4e…1483backed Under49c204.92$100 inLost-$10030155.5%167 W · 134 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Under47c128.15$60 inLost-$60.0154944.4%244 W · 305 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea15…ba9ebacked Over50c124.06$62 inWon+$62.4720140.8%82 W · 119 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over56c77.05$43 inWon+$33.6428559.6%170 W · 115 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb82a…ef47backed Under44c64.73$28 inLost-$28.483246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Under49c30.61$15 inLost-$1534743.5%151 W · 196 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed Over54c24.06$13 inWon+$11.0712458.1%72 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over56c20.63$11 inWon+$9.1424356%136 W · 107 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.