South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad0bfb9d8d0c46575b12c335789e9e1a848f63c0c45c088775054d3f22b92396
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,827 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 70c | 12,756$8,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,829.43 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 32c | 5,380$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.31 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 40c | 4,956$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.51 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 25c | 4,863$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.43 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes | 77c | 4,051$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 3,898$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.01 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Yes | 59c | 3,232$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.22 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 69c | 3,200$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes | 75c | 2,250$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 76c | 2,148$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.55 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edf…7eadbacked Yes | 62c | 1,618$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…d5d0backed Yes | 59c | 1,501$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 1,314$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.36 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 1,237$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.73 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 16c | 972$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.25 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 39c | 924.11$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.09 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 35c | 907.25$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.18 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 58c | 837.07$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.57 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 23c | 809.79$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 40c | 770.6$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.31 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 23c | 764.5$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.31 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked No | 27c | 631.7$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.61 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 37c | 577.34$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.39 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 45c | 568.95$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.77 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 41c | 546$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.57 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…23eebacked No | 39c | 533$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 60c | 530.7$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.67 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 61c | 441$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.89 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 60c | 439.15$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.66 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes | 59c | 424.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.05 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 406.48$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.89 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 38c | 382$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.58 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…84c1backed Yes | 53c | 375.79$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 38c | 327.82$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.57 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 41c | 314.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.35 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 35c | 310.31$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.39 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…6c16backed Yes | 61c | 295.79$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 26c | 282$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 78c | 280$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d95…34b0backed Yes | 70c | 273.45$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 40c | 249.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 59c | 214.73$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.44 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 61c | 202$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1471…679dbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…9c4fbacked No | 40c | 189.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 58c | 184.44$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.47 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…e185backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…abafbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d0…5b25backed Yes | 59c | 168.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x516f…3dc8backed Yes | 60c | 167.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…b335backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 62c | 161.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 30c | 156.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 62c | 147.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed No | 27c | 145.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 59c | 144.49$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Yes | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 60c | 134.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked Yes | 79c | 132.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 77c | 129.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6d…d729backed Yes | 59c | 128.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.88 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 127.3$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 63c | 122.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…330bbacked No | 40c | 121.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 119.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…7926backed Yes | 77c | 116.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Yes | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…f579backed Yes | 53c | 112.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Yes | 55c | 109.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 39c | 108.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6398…0485backed Yes | 61c | 108.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 65c | 104.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 77c | 99.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…9664backed No | 14c | 97.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 40c | 95.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 60c | 95.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…7c9abacked Yes | 71c | 95.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 39c | 92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 63c | 90.84$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3784…72fbbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 66c | 78.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 18c | 73.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 72.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Yes | 60c | 71.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.