South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b23600f66c1252e0353236ad716d6a0297add7b1df976cac727540c1e8f82ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CS Cristalof SE Palmeiras, CS Cristal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed SE Palmeiras | 63c | 16,130$10,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,161.68 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CS Cristal | 38c | 10,886$4,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750.14 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed SE Palmeiras | 4c | 9,876$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.02 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed SE Palmeiras | 60c | 7,264$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.25 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CS Cristal | 40c | 6,689$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,017.12 | 2,598 | 39.3%1,022 W · 1,576 L | -26.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed CS Cristal | 37c | 2,549$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.67 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed CS Cristal | 37c | 2,481$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.97 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed SE Palmeiras | 61c | 1,305$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.95 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked SE Palmeiras | 62c | 1,100$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.96 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed SE Palmeiras | 62c | 999.92$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed CS Cristal | 40c | 905.2$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.12 | 431 | 62.2%268 W · 163 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CS Cristal | 38c | 812.76$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.91 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed SE Palmeiras | 61c | 801.14$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.41 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f6…f059backed SE Palmeiras | 62c | 794.23$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed SE Palmeiras | 39c | 775.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CS Cristal | 37c | 696.27$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.34 | 3,446 | 51.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L | +21.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked CS Cristal | 44c | 575.94$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.11 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked SE Palmeiras | 65c | 526.55$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.67 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CS Cristal | 39c | 523.28$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 3,807 | 38.4%1,463 W · 2,344 L | -29.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked SE Palmeiras | 62c | 472.84$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.16 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9c…c8cfbacked CS Cristal | 80c | 443.68$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed CS Cristal | 37c | 429.33$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.64 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed CS Cristal | 38c | 428.96$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 454 | 52.9%240 W · 214 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed SE Palmeiras | 64c | 399.26$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7695…9cedbacked SE Palmeiras | 59c | 390.68$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed SE Palmeiras | 62c | 351.48$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.92 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed SE Palmeiras | 39c | 338.47$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed SE Palmeiras | 57c | 316$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.49 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed SE Palmeiras | 65c | 297.1$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.95 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed CS Cristal | 39c | 274.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed SE Palmeiras | 37c | 273.91$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.81 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked SE Palmeiras | 33c | 260.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed CS Cristal | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CS Cristal | 36c | 206.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 1,362 | 49.8%678 W · 684 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SE Palmeiras | 31c | 191.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 1,339 | 56.9%762 W · 577 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed SE Palmeiras | 64c | 173.32$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed CS Cristal | 34c | 172.23$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.67 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SE Palmeiras | 41c | 159.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 875 | 21.3%186 W · 689 L | -83.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked CS Cristal | 48c | 136.65$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked CS Cristal | 38c | 127.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…1021backed SE Palmeiras | 78c | 126.37$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed CS Cristal | 40c | 115.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked SE Palmeiras | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked SE Palmeiras | 38c | 111.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CS Cristal | 34c | 106$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 2,648 | 54.2%1,436 W · 1,212 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed CS Cristal | 70c | 104.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed CS Cristal | 38c | 99.95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed CS Cristal | 42c | 91.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 223 | 45.7%102 W · 121 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed CS Cristal | 37c | 90.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…0b24backed SE Palmeiras | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…03d1backed SE Palmeiras | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed SE Palmeiras | 64c | 76.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked CS Cristal | 38c | 76.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c50…14dfbacked SE Palmeiras | 65c | 75.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ba…7ed1backed SE Palmeiras | 63c | 71.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked SE Palmeiras | 63c | 65.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked SE Palmeiras | 63c | 64.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked SE Palmeiras | 42c | 63.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e7…3463backed SE Palmeiras | 58c | 62.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d0…6fe4backed SE Palmeiras | 64c | 61.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed CS Cristal | 38c | 58.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CS Cristal | 50c | 56.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed SE Palmeiras | 63c | 54.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed SE Palmeiras | 64c | 53.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3e…8b7cbacked CS Cristal | 37c | 51.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked SE Palmeiras | 64c | 48.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SE Palmeiras | 40c | 48.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1694backed SE Palmeiras | 39c | 46.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked CS Cristal | 62c | 46.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed SE Palmeiras | 64c | 46.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed CS Cristal | 37c | 46.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed SE Palmeiras | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 782 | 51%399 W · 383 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed SE Palmeiras | 64c | 45.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aab…9765backed SE Palmeiras | 54c | 45.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked CS Cristal | 40c | 44.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked CS Cristal | 69c | 42.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed CS Cristal | 37c | 41.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…b2f7backed SE Palmeiras | 58c | 36.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked CS Cristal | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 1,502 | 45.9%690 W · 812 L | -18.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed SE Palmeiras | 61c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed SE Palmeiras | 63c | 32.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed SE Palmeiras | 57c | 32.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394a…8845backed SE Palmeiras | 63c | 32.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…aaa3backed SE Palmeiras | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…bff8backed CS Cristal | 37c | 31.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…a1f7backed SE Palmeiras | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked SE Palmeiras | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked SE Palmeiras | 62c | 28.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93be…af87backed SE Palmeiras | 78c | 24.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked SE Palmeiras | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked SE Palmeiras | 61c | 23.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…89d6backed SE Palmeiras | 58c | 19.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fd…4df6backed SE Palmeiras | 59c | 18.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c7…d727backed CS Cristal | 60c | 18.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…9af6backed SE Palmeiras | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)this page
- SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CS Cristal (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: CS Cristal (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)CS Cristal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.