South American Leagues · resolved market
SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa70878de86b81cfba4a416247d1c1f5b5ea7e6c384f111ef0efd02e6f237a6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 5,674$4,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.92 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 57c | 3,134$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.28 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Under | 52c | 2,775$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,452.24 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 38c | 2,516$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.43 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 21c | 1,902$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.48 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 41c | 1,361$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.63 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 1,042$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 24c | 961.81$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.52 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Over | 59c | 951.82$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 63c | 777.46$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.64 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 63c | 776.03$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.13 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Over | 57c | 673.87$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.77 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 37c | 639.97$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.79 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 622.11$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.67 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 63c | 607.32$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Over | 79c | 578.68$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.86 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 35c | 459.08$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 58c | 396.62$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.87 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 58c | 334.53$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 38c | 319.52$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…4629backed Over | 63c | 244.45$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…2cdbbacked Over | 80c | 218.6$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 192.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 75c | 162.68$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 61c | 160.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.74 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Over | 63c | 154.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…b695backed Over | 67c | 139.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Over | 62c | 138.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under | 50c | 135.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Over | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed Over | 63c | 119.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 42c | 106.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 51c | 104.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 39c | 102.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 38c | 99.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…39f7backed Over | 52c | 97.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 57c | 83.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Over | 56c | 78.09$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Over | 56c | 77.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Under | 38c | 76.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 41c | 70.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 77c | 65.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 73c | 64.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 55.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 72c | 54.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed Over | 56c | 51.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…2ba1backed Over | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 77c | 50.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Over | 56c | 49.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Over | 56c | 47.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Under | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 46.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 56c | 45.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 63c | 45.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 57c | 44.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…f58bbacked Under | 45c | 39.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 41c | 36.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 67c | 33.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Over | 50c | 31.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 41c | 27.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 56c | 24.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 50c | 23.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Over | 52c | 19.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…24aebacked Over | 62c | 17.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5this page
- SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5Over won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CS Cristal (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: CS Cristal (-2.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)CS Cristal won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)CS Cristal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.